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Old 02-03-2007, 11:10 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
7 lengths of trouble? Turn of foot?
How do you quantify trouble in a race to exact lengths?
His 'turn of foot' was achieved in a race where they were crawling home. The last 3/8ths in 38 seconds, last 1/8th in 12.3. The very next race a 100-1 shot ran his last 3/8ths in 36.4 and his last 1/8th in 12.2 going the same distance.
In essence the other horses were stopping so badly he looked like he was closing fast, which he wasn't.
He is a very good horse who overcame troble to swamp a bunch of listed type horse. No more, no less.
the fractions for both races might help.
The Donn
22.8/46.5/110.5/135.8/148.43

10th race allowance
24.0/49.0/113.9/138.3/150.8

The crawling home as you put it had a lot to do with how fast the earlier part of the race was run. Invasor crawled home to a final time that was 2.3 seconds faster than the other race.

I don't see it as some illusion caused by passing slow running horses. Jara held him from about midway on the turn, tryed to go out upon entering the stretch, finding no way to get out had to check up even more while angling back to the inside. As I watched the race it looked like an impossible position to rally from and win. The horses on the outside pathes had the momentum and time was running out. He was in real trouble pinned in behind a wall of horses.

What I found remarkable was how little time it took him to get out of the trouble and get the lead back, which he did in plenty of time to wrap it up again. He did close fast for the required amount of time it took him to get out of trouble.

In my view, you just don't see horses do, what he did in that race.
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