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#1
01-23-2007, 03:30 AM
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Race 3 Santa Anita F and M 25000 claim
Steve and Andy I don't know how else to stimulate race discussion than to start threads for each race and then I'll post a ticket tomorrow AM. If I am in the wrong place for this I apologize......
Assuming PP's are actual numbers.... # 9 Mog First, anybody using Brisnet PP's there is an error where the first time out trip for Mog is missing from the PP's. The race (R8 3/3/06 @ SA) is somewhat relavant because A) He ran a (9) on Thorograph which is the best number for any horse in the race B) It's a sprint at Santa Anita a year ago. I am not a William the 3RD jock fan but he is okay on a closer and will likely try the same strategy here with a race that 5,6,7,12 will likely come to the front. SA workouts and the drop in class seal the deal. My Pick.... # 12 The Cat Did It Is getting major press with DRF Mr Free suggesting him as a single because he lost a stretch duel from the 3 hole but actually finished 6TH. I think the same thing happens again with #10 Mog and perhaps #11 Ikuna Red. I think you have to use Cat in the PICK 6 but I won't single. #3 Blazen Bunny Good speed numbers but too long between races. I can see ITM but needs a race IMO #7 Heatherdoesn'tBluff Nice turf numbers but never has been on dirt so who knows how she'll really do here though Sire (Old Trieste) seems to imply decent dirt potential. The TGH sire info seems also to suggest a late maturing horse........the wild card in the race and may be my 3RD choice So on this one 9-12 for sure......may use the 7 Thoughts folks???? 
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#2
01-23-2007, 04:51 AM
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SANTA ANITA RACE 4 TURF F 40000 Claim
Another field with many contenders that "could" challenge the favorite Red Opal. I may use 4 because I think they are all legit.....
#12 Udridge A number of things seem to work in her favor for this lightly raced 5 year old who has won at a higher level recently, drew well on the outside, seems to be able to win in front or off the pace,has a nice bullet last workout, gets Migliore on Turf who seems to win on everything he touches the last week or so. Nice Thorograph pattern competitive with Red Opal......must use!!!! #6 Red Opal Will get plenty of action for good reason. Best closer,TGH numbers there, Sadler,Gomez,workouts all here. For sure..... #2 Mashina Intriquing play.......Obviously will try and steal this one by converting this 5 for 17 lifetime turf route specialist on Nakatani. The PP's seem to imply the horse is money for the first 6F's of every Turf route.....can he steal this. Sire: Vettori has very small but excellent improvement TGI for 5 year olds.....I am using her... #5 Kendricks Patsy Steve Miyadi sends in scary closing monster with late numbers almost the same as Red Opal. Another trainer who's white hot using an under the radar turf route specialist from Northern California in a turf sprint. Kaenel has never ridden this horse or a single race at SA. I wonder whats up here????? Trainer has lots of new friends winning at 32% I think I'll use rather than weep!!! Pick 6 play 2,5,6,12 12,2,6,5 Box(Tri) 12/6,2,5/6,2,5/all (super) Two more races this afternoon.....the last two tonight!!! I would love to hear from any of you should you see major flaws in thought process. Ticket so far 7,9,12/2,5,6,12.........Race 5 MC 32K for 3 year olds
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#3
01-23-2007, 07:54 AM
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Quote:
Mashina cuts back from routes to a sprint. First time down the hill doesn't worry me with Cory aboard, and love the fact that he's 2 for 2 when riding this mare. Will be a factor as long as he doesn't try to dual with Udriga for the lead. Speaking of the 12, my only worry is the 6 week gap in works between Nov. 22nd and Jan 5th. Not sure if the horse is fit enough to take them wire to wire, which is what she'll have to do to win. Both Moogie and Evening Escort have some things to like, but I can't go more than 3 deep here, and may just use Red Opal and Mashina, leaving my pick 6 fate in the hands of Nakatani and Gomez.
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#4
01-23-2007, 09:28 AM
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Using my handicapping process I came up with four horses in here who I gave the rating of "A." They were Mashina, Red Opal, Evening Escort, and Udriga. I eliminated Mashina because Kristin Mulhall is frigid right now and I feel there are better stretch runners in the race. I eliminated Evening Escort because in her three turf starts against older horses she has been handled very easily each time. The 3+ weeks of inactivity for an equally frigid Doug O'Neill is not positive in my opinion either.
Therefore I was left with Red Opal and Udriga. The prices on the two will be poor, as I'm sure they'll be the two faves. I dug a little deeper to find another horse who I thought might be a wild-card with a chance. There is no doubt that Udriga's pace is going to be rapid, so I think anyone moving in the lane has a heck of a chance. I found the other John Sadler entrant, Peace and Love. She didn't get the best of trips at Hollywood in her last start but was flying late and she has shown an affinity for the downhill route. She gets in awfly light with Antongeorgi and could be rallying strongly in the late stages. So, I'm using Peace and Love, Red Opal, and Udriga, with the expectation that Red Opal gets it done, even in this wide-open, sizable field. NT
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#5
01-23-2007, 10:56 AM
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leg (a ) a selections pp 2 lianas lil american new shooter j/t combo good roi
pp 1 primitive peak showed nothing in debut gets rail very good work tab after try pp 9 alluring eyes cuts back in dist 2nd start off layoff pp 3 blazing bunny like the jock sw and shows some hart b selections pp 12 the cat did it pp 10 mog knapp has the golden oats.. leg (b) a selections pp 8 moogie drops in pos jock sw pp 11 evning escort drops in has win at sa at dist..very imprortant pp 10 tibia speed cuts back .. (b) selections pp 5 kendricks patsy..invader cuts back in dist.. pp 3 mohowk drops in class has back figs trainer hot leg c (a) selections pp 8 pauls hope drops in cuts back in dist pos jock sw pp 11 wage a kiss stable very high roi debut mdn claimer pp 7 peace accord trouble in last showed intent pp 12 bartoks busta first for a tag third start ( b) selections pp 9 golada king rev moon throws bombs first lasix off poly pp 6 charlos court stays and showed some will after bad st pp 1 el gato mullins is a snake has back nos... leg (d) a selections pp 7 anti freezette horse has good speed 2nd off the lay off moves up in class pp 3 br desighn large drop in class tuf to dirt no b selections. leg (e) a selections pp 7 movie star..whats not to like franlkle in a stake pp 9 maxi arte jis outside post could hurt here b selections pp 8 singalong doesent like to win will be flying late leg d a selections pp 1 alec finally gets an inside spot ..cuts back in dist pp 11 highly gallent hes right there was bumbed hard inlast pp 6 closet trader ran well on polly pp 8 i beat fire drops down with a bullitt b selections pp 12 varorius knocking at the door but not that great pp 9 living the highlife new shooter with two speed works.. Last edited by hoovesupsideyourhead : 01-23-2007 at 11:58 AM.
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