SNS - Possible screwed?

Scav · #1 01-21-2007, 10:45 PM

he might be able to be 3w going into the turn, Get Funky and Bob's Proud Moment will show speed, but both of those have been turf speed, which we all know is different then dirt speed. Could be even 2w because Bob Proud hasn't shown serious gate speed until his last.

#2 01-21-2007, 10:47 PM

I think SNS will be fine. I happen to think this field is OK. It is an interesting group to say the least. Texcess is an ok horse. Silver Wagon is a mystery as to the distance (I dont think he can get it) and Dry Martini is in good form. But the horse I sort of like is the 2 horse. It should be a good day of racing.

Scav · #3 01-21-2007, 10:59 PM

this might have 'helped' my odds. he is the 9/5 ML and people will try and beat him that far out, it will happen sooner or later, and sooner is better then later in this spot....

The Indomitable DrugS · #4 01-22-2007, 03:43 AM

It's a very difficult post.

However, it's a weak field, and he has the absolute perfect jockey for the situation.

Ramon Dominguez annually seems to show a flat bet profit in route races, and amazingly, he does that riding mostly on a circuit where his mounts are always, seemingly wildly overbet.

He's a guy who is very commited to saving ground....and maybe the only jockey in racing who always seems much more comfortable riding the rail than being outside of horses.

Sightseek · #5 01-22-2007, 06:37 AM

Texcess has turned up with a few big efforts now and again...maybe he'll surprise.

Cajungator26 · #6 01-22-2007, 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek

Texcess has turned up with a few big efforts now and again...maybe he'll surprise.

I think so too.

ArlJim78 · #7 01-22-2007, 01:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

It's a very difficult post.

He's a guy who is very commited to saving ground....and maybe the only jockey in racing who always seems much more comfortable riding the rail than being outside of horses.

I don't think he's going to see the rail in this one.

One advantage SNS has with that post is natural speed. Its not like he will have to be pushed out of his normal comfort zone in order to make his way to the leading group and possibly be only 2-3 wide on the first turn.

I would just recommend that he not be pushed too much out of the gate and perhaps be allowed to move from off the pace a bit on the backstretch if necessary.

So much will depend on how the rest of the field breaks. I really like this horse but the post is troublesome and I don't think he is so much clearly superior to the rest of the field that he can still win given a fast and wide run on the first turn.