4/4: Keeneland ~ Blue Grass Day (4th-11th)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3y6o-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Honfleur 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Tiffany Cross 12-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Dyna 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Call On Me 5-1 WON ($10.28)


5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Praetor 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 Johny's Rendezvous 15-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Implementation 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Gate to Wire 9-2 4th


6th: ALW/N2X, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T ($3 Turf P3, P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Shoot It True 3-5: 2nd Off layoff, but who's supposed to beat her?
Best Value: #6 Amalfi Drive 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Buttercream Babe 6-1 WON ($11.18)
Exotics Use: #1 Rosato 20-1 3rd


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

6: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-7-8-9-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-4-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x6x4 = 24 x $3 = $72


7th: Commonwealth (G3), 4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Saudi Crown 8-5: Is 'supposed to win', but this race feels squirrely.. WON ($)
Next Best: #5 National Identity 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Track Mate 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Crazy Mason 3-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

4: 2-5 (A), 4-10 (B), - (C)
5: 3-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x3 = $36 ($18 for .50)


8th: Appalachian (G2), 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Perhaps the day's most intriguing race with cast of Herecomesthebride reshuffled, invasion of Counterbalance from CA and seasonal debut of Just Aloof from Chad..

Best Value: #1 Spirit Doll 15-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Just Aloof 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Sister Troienne 5-2 5th
Super Add: #11 Counterbalance 15-1 8th


9th: Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f ($3 Late P3, DD)

Quirky edition of this early year F&M Sprint Division standard with pair from Joseph appealing more than those of Mott. Mystic Lake comes into this in better form than her try a year ago and is irresistible at 20-1..

Best Value: #8 Mystic Lake 20-1 6th
Next Best: #6 R Disaster 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Eclatant 4-1 WON ($9.58)
Super Add: #3 Clicquot 6-1 8th


$3 Late P3 Grid:

9: 6-8 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
10: 3-4 (A), 8-11 (B), - (C)
11: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2 = 32 x $3 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2 = 8 x $3 = $24


10th: Shakertown (G2), 4+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #3 Its Bourbon Thirty 15-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Yellow Card 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Litigation 4-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Joe Shiesty 8-1 5th


11th: Blue Grass (G1), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

Loss of Class President took the luster out of this event. Faves just appear better than the rest, though Great White is an unknown on the main track..

Most Likely: #4 Reagan's Honor 5-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Further Ado 8-5 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #3 Great White 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Creole Chrome 8-1 4th


P5 Grid:

7: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-7-9 (A), - (B), 8-10-11 (C)
9: 6-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 3-4 (A), 8-11 (B), - (C)
11: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's:
Backup ():


P4 Grid:

8: 1-7-9 (A), - (B), 8-10-11 (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
10: 3-4 (A), 8-11 (B), - (C)
11: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's:
Backup ():


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[Kasept]

KEE SCR/CHG'S

Check KEE website for most current SCR's: https://www.keeneland.com/racing/scratches-changes

[moses]

Good luck Steve. If Talkin is around 10/1 then I will take a swing on him. Not sure he will be with Class President out.

[knickslions2]

How that 11 not get by in that 5th. They hurts

[moses]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

How that 11 not get by in that 5th. They hurts

Living up to his name — Thoughtthatcounts