Two at Toga (2025)

[theguarantee]

8/16
Best Bet: Race 8 #8 Crimson Light 6/1 - Think still has the most upside in here and I thought his last race was better than it looks. If improving off the break should be able to handle these, protected against a bunch that have had chances, I'd be delighted with 6/1 in here but I'm a little skeptical...

Best Value: Race 12 #6 Bustin Away 10/1 - I toyed with chalking out as I think Good Cheer and Assertiveness are both very likely winners with the latter possibly being slight value if the 2/1 were to hold...but I decided to take a shot at a better price in maybe the most wide open race of the day... Bustin Away's lone turf start was pretty good and that was last year, I also think the 5.5 is much more suited to him than the 6 they ran that day. I'm really uncertain of his form at this point...I know some people like the Finger Lakes shipper angle, I personally almost always toss them, however he's kind of bred to love this, showed enough last year to take a swing at what should be a nice price today. It's a guess without a ton of confidence to be honest.