Two at Toga (2025)

[theguarantee]

8/1/25

Best Bet: Race 9 #3 Vinsanity 15/1 - I thought about going back to Fluid Situation in here who did have a little trouble never getting totally free riding the rail, but I also just never thought he really finished up there. Chess Master and Shefflin can obviously win but I don't want either at a short price. There are some other options here and Vinsanity is probably a stretch but he'll be a huge price in here...he has some 5.5 turf sprints on firm that I think are competitive in here, I think the effort on softer turf in June can be ignored and sneakily he ran pretty well I thought in that dirt sprint at Monmouth last out. I think he's getting back to what he does best sprinting on the turf...might not be good enough but I'm not sure he's really that much less likely than Cloudy, Chiringo, Hilarious Affair etc who will all be (some much) lower prices.

Best Value: Race 8 #9 Come Full Circle 12/1 - Will have to improve returning to dirt and shortening up...the debut effort was better than it looks fig wise though and even that number puts him into the mix...not sure he won't be a bit of a wiseguy horse and come down from the 12/1 (and maybe it's a bad thing if he truly is double digits in here) - but I think in a race where you initially want to beat the favorites but struggle to find anything to latch onto, he's the right type to take a shot with.