6/4: Belmont Stakes Festival ~ NY Showcase Day

[Kasept]

BELMONT STAKES FESTIVAL AT SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Peg Steinman H. (G1), 4+, 19f-Natl Fences (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Evie's Prince 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Proven Innocent 5-2 WON ($11.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Awakened 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Sultan Pierji 8-1 4th


2nd: NY-Mike Lee, 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

SCR Mo Plex..

Most Likely: #3 Prince Valiant 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Soontobeking 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Train the Trainer 3-1 WON ($5.90)


3rd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 No Ordinary Love 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Miss Im Pulsive 7-2 10th
Exotics Use: #11 Just Add Water 9-2 WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #2 Miss Uproar 20-1 3rd


4th: NY-Commentator, 3+, 9f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Drake's Passage 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Bank Frenzy 7-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #1 Mama's Gold 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Locke and Key 8-1 4th


[b]5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner ($1 P6, P3, DD)[/]

First chance for me to exclaim "NY-breds, long on the turf".. the best betting opportunities on the circuit!

Most Likely: #10 The Paddock Pastor 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Courtly Banker 10-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Pay the Juice 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Sounds Like a Plan 5-2 7th
Super Add: #8 Leon Blue 10-1 2nd


6th: NY-Bouwerie, 3yo-F, P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Valtellina 9-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Kay Cup 9-5 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Bernieandtherose 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Charlotte's Heart 8-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

2: 3 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
3: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-8 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
5: 2-4-5-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 6-7 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x4x5x4 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 1x2x2x5x2 = 40 x .50 = $20
Backup (CAAAA): 1x2x2x5x2 = 40 x .50 = $20 (1 in 2nd)


P4 Grid:

3: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-8 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
5: 2-4-5-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 6-7 (A), - (B), 2-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 1x2x2x5x2 = 40 x .50 = $20
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x5x2 = 40 x .50 = $20 (2-8 in 6th)


7th: NY-Kingston, 4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Wild group with several returning to state bred company..

Best Value: #4 Be of Courage 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Itsallcomintogetha 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Hush of a Storm 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Betterluckythangood 6-1 4th


8th: NY-Critical Eye, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 P Mutter Pickle 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Sterling Silver 1-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Bernietakescharge 8-1 WON ($20.00)


Must Pay P5 Grid:

4: 5-8 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
5: 2-5-10 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x2x2x2 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAACA): 2x3x2x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (9 in 7th)


9th: NY-Mount Vernon, F&M-4+, 8.5f-Inner (2-day P4, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Awesome Czech 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Spinning Colors 8-1 WON ($16.20)
Next Best: #1 Silver Skillet 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Bobby M's Girl 20-1 8th


2-day P4 Grid:

WED 9: 2-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
WED 10: 1-4-5-11 (A), - (B), 6-8-12 (C)
THU 1: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
THU 2: 4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x3 = 96 x. 50 = $48
All A's: 2x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (ACAA): 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-8-12 in WED 10th)


10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #1 Sir Oscar 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Coach Case 5-2 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #11 Sir Lawrence 6-1 -
Super Add: #5 Spirit of the Law 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x4x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

7: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[moses]

Thanks Steve and good luck.

[Kasept]

BEL/SAR SCR/CHG'S

[Kasept]

$55,492 P6 C/O THURSDAY