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  #1  
Old 08-12-2023, 01:23 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
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Day 23

Best bet: Race 5- #5 Deterministic
I really liked the way this colt looked in his August 5th work. Started about 2 lengths behind his workmate, was kept behind him into the stretch and then once he was shown daylight he really extended and picked up his workmate. Ive noticed this is something Clement has done with his two other 2 year old debut winners at the meet. They paid $625,000 for this son of Liam’s Map at the Keeneland September sale which made him the highest priced Liam’s Map sold at the sale.


Longshot: Race 2- #1/1A Entry
I prefer All About Tonite who looked like a little rocket ship in the 7/17 work from the gate. Dam a 3 time winner on the grass and The Factor is a decent grass sire. I think this one is quick and might end up getting lost on the board
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  #2  
Old 08-12-2023, 01:47 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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LOL I suck.
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  #3  
Old 08-13-2023, 12:31 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 23

Best bet: Race 5- #5 Deterministic
I really liked the way this colt looked in his August 5th work. Started about 2 lengths behind his workmate, was kept behind him into the stretch and then once he was shown daylight he really extended and picked up his workmate. Ive noticed this is something Clement has done with his two other 2 year old debut winners at the meet. They paid $625,000 for this son of Liam’s Map at the Keeneland September sale which made him the highest priced Liam’s Map sold at the sale.


Longshot: Race 2- #1/1A Entry
I prefer All About Tonite who looked like a little rocket ship in the 7/17 work from the gate. Dam a 3 time winner on the grass and The Factor is a decent grass sire. I think this one is quick and might end up getting lost on the board
The entry, more specifically the horse I preferred wasn’t good but I might be interested in the horse next time because he ran like a horse that needed one. Deterministic looked like a horse who has a date with stakes in his future. Off slow and swung widest of all and when he leveled out he ran and won paying $9.10 and $5.20

Meet totals
$184 wagered
$143.70 returned
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  #4  
Old 08-13-2023, 12:40 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
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Day 24

I love the card today which means I’ll probably go 0 for 10

Best bet: Race 7- #4 Saint Tapit
This is the kind of horse I normally don’t like. He’s obviously very talented but his last few have been bad. He went to the sidelines after his last bad start in January and didn’t show up on the work tab until June so I assume something was amiss. I really liked his last two works. First he outworked Dreamlike who runs later in the card and then stakes horse Wit. I just think we see his good race today and he should be a fair price.

Longshot: Race 10- #7 Private Creed
Race should feature a fast pace. I can make excuses for his last two. He got involved way too late two back. Last time he found himself ay closer to the pace than normal. Around the turn he bobbled, costing him a few lengths and then he re-engaged and fought down the lane. This is the kind of horse that aRosario usually rides well and Asmussen has been on a roll with his turf sprinters. Hopefully he can pick them all up late
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  #5  
Old 08-16-2023, 10:30 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 24

I love the card today which means I’ll probably go 0 for 10

Best bet: Race 7- #4 Saint Tapit
This is the kind of horse I normally don’t like. He’s obviously very talented but his last few have been bad. He went to the sidelines after his last bad start in January and didn’t show up on the work tab until June so I assume something was amiss. I really liked his last two works. First he outworked Dreamlike who runs later in the card and then stakes horse Wit. I just think we see his good race today and he should be a fair price.

Longshot: Race 10- #7 Private Creed
Race should feature a fast pace. I can make excuses for his last two. He got involved way too late two back. Last time he found himself ay closer to the pace than normal. Around the turn he bobbled, costing him a few lengths and then he re-engaged and fought down the lane. This is the kind of horse that aRosario usually rides well and Asmussen has been on a roll with his turf sprinters. Hopefully he can pick them all up late
Saint Tapit was an awful pick. Private Creed ran much better but wasn't able to catch the Adam Rice horse, paying $12.40 to place.

Meet totals
$192 wagered
$156.10 returned
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  #6  
Old 08-16-2023, 10:43 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
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Day 25

Best bet: Race 6- #8 Portage
She's looked like a totally different filly in Linda Rice's barn and her last was her best yet. I think she projects to sit a very nice trip outside the speed and Rice has strong numbers with horses who have won their last race coming back.

Longshot: Race 8- #4 Bernt Again
I wanted to go outside the box here in a race that I think will feature some chaos. She's been much improved this year, ran well last time and is drawn well. If Manny can stay inside and find a seem, I think she can be right there
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  #7  
Old 08-17-2023, 01:18 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 25

Best bet: Race 6- #8 Portage
She's looked like a totally different filly in Linda Rice's barn and her last was her best yet. I think she projects to sit a very nice trip outside the speed and Rice has strong numbers with horses who have won their last race coming back.

Longshot: Race 8- #4 Bernt Again
I wanted to go outside the box here in a race that I think will feature some chaos. She's been much improved this year, ran well last time and is drawn well. If Manny can stay inside and find a seem, I think she can be right there
Portage ran her race but was no match for a filly with a future, paying $4.20 to place. I got the ride and trip I wanted with Brent Again, but she’s just not as good as some of these but ran well for 3rd

Meet totals
$200 wagered
$160.30 returned
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  #8  
Old 08-17-2023, 01:25 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
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Day 26

Best bet: Race 6- #10 King James
To me this is a case of this horse being much better than any of these other on dirt. Trainer is no bargain and I have no idea what the price will be, but he stands out to me.

Longshot: Race 4- #5 Western Ghent
Not necessarily a long shot per set but I think the price will be fair here and I like this horse a lot. If you look at his PPs you’ll see names like Two Phil’s, Extra Anejo and Slip Mahoney. He isn’t facing anywhere near that today. I think he’s been in way over his head class wise and I also think he’s a sprinter. He’s in the right spot today and should give a much better account of himself
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