|
|
 |
|
|
|
#1
05-05-2023, 10:56 AM
|
|||
|
|||
Thanks for posting Dahoss, always like your insights.
I'll post a few opinions as well in a bit but in the upcoming 4th I'm going a bit off the rocker with the #1 Zawish. Maybe she's just a turf horse but she ran pretty well in the Tepin while kind of green and is like 12x the price of Heartyconstitution. I think that Beyer fig is ridiculously low and it sandwiches some turf runs that put her in the mix if she can translate it back to dirt. Pitts not great off the layoff and has to deal with the rail but at the given price I'm taking a little swing. 
|
|
#2
05-05-2023, 11:39 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Hadn't read the thoughts until after that race but we have some similar opinions, we'll see if that's a good thing...
I too like West Will Power in the 5th and have him singled in the pick 5 - chalked out but I'd still take it, if only Zawish had a little more punch...I agree though that Smile Happy is the interesting horse underneath and maybe I will also use Rich Strike, it's a fair point. 6) I too like Didia, for similar reasons so I won't expand. 7) Obviously Munnys Gold runs her race they are running for second but I do like the cutback for Red Carpet Ready. For the amount of value you get in beating these types in multis I'll play a couple very skinny tickets in case she falters with just RCR singled in here. Fully prepared to come back with my main ticket being a pick 4 in the next. 8) Almost never do I try to get clever with an Irad horse since he's always overbet but I like Majestic d'Oro in here a little. Caravel will probably win but I was searching for an alternative and I landed here. Walsh has treated her like she's got more talent than she has shown. I like the work pattern coming in and wonder if maybe she took a nice step forward from 3 to 4 (she will have needed to and then some)...draw a line through the last at Kentucky Downs, the 5F sprint vs Twilight Gleaming was decent and I trust Irad to work a trip. Maybe the jocks will decide to be wise and not just let Caravel clear from the 11 slot, although knowing how that goes she'll probably be allowed to clear and walk. 9) I like Society in here today, I know that there is some speed signed on but I don't think any of them have the true burner speed she does. I'm hoping the plan with Search Results off the layoff is to take back a little as she's the only one I think could press her into defaulting. I like Jose on speed types like this and I think she's really going to benefit from that run in the Madison. 10) Having a very difficult time separating Chad's runners...if Papilio can fix her antics I think she might be too good but I think they should've looked for a stronger rider than Javier for her...I'll take a stab with D'Amato's filly Commanche Country. You can draw a line through the last in a joke of a wire job...she was the only one to make up any ground and the 4th place finisher returned to improve fig and win a G3. She's in the deep waters today and maybe just isn't good enough but should be a nice price at least. 11) I too have liked Affirmative Lady a bit and think she will benefit from added distance but the last just seemed so slow...I actually think Southlawn is the most likely winner in here and while she's taken some early money I'm more than happy with 7/2 or better and guessing we will at least get 5/1. I never would've thought I'd like Defining Purpose in here but I've come around to the idea that she is just a horse who blossomed at the right time. McPeek can be so random for me but I think once they pop he usually keeps them running at least for a few starts. Good luck everyone.
|
|
#3
05-05-2023, 12:20 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
I could be wrong but the turf so far seems to be carrying speed. I’ve got a small pick 3 with Sweet Dani Girl and Lady Rockstar and a few bucks on Lady Rockstar as she adds blinkers. Not sure either of those two are good enough but could payoff.
|
|
#6
05-05-2023, 05:37 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
Hybrid Mode
