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#1
09-16-2022, 04:03 PM
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9/17: Churchill (5th-11th); Bel/Aqu (6th-11th); Woodbine (6th-11th)
CHURCHILL DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES 5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #2 Communication Memo 12-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Release McCracken 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #12 Create Trouble 6-1 11th Super Add: #3 Army Star 15-1 7th 6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (Derby City 6, P3, DD) Best Value: #9 Pro Oxident 5-1 4th Next Best: #3 Unbridled Honor 9-2 5th Exotics Use: #11 Gulfstream Way 6-1 2nd Super Add: #4 Uber Kirk 15-1 WON ($21.20) 7th: Open Mind, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Bell's the One 6-5 WON ($3.08) Next Best: #1 Sconsin 8-5 3rd 8th: Locust Grove (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #4 Lil Tootsie 8-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Envoutante 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #5 Played Hard 2-1 WON ($6.24) Super Add: #1 Gold Spirit 6-1 4th P4 Grid: 5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 3-9 (A), 4-11 (B), - (C) 7: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3 = $48 ($24 for .50) All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup (1-3 in 8th): 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8 9th: Iroquois (G3), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Damon's Mound 5-2 6th Next Best: #9 Echo Again 2-1 7th Best Value: #5 Curly Jack 5-1 WON ($23.66) Exotics Use: #6 Jace's Road 7-2 3rd 10th: Louisville TB Society, 3+, 6f (DD) Best Value: #5 Miles Ahead 6-1 WON ($7.46) Next Best: #7 Top Gunner 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 Isolate 7-5 2nd Super Add: #4 Necker Island 5-2 3rd 11th: Pocahontas (G3), 2yo-F, 8.5f (Hi-5) Most Likely: #5 Grand Love 9-2 3rd Best Value: #10 Fun and Feisty 6-1 WON ($14.46) Next Best: #11 Justa Warrior 4-1 11th Exotics Use: #4 Shoplifter 15-1 2nd Hi-5 Play: #3 Naughty Gal 5-1 12th P5 Grid: 7: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-4-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C) 9: 3-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 5-7 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C) 11: 5 (A), - (B), 10-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x4x1 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (10-11 in 11th): 3x3x2x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 P4 Grid: 8: 2-4-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C) 9: 3-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 5-7 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C) 11: 5-10 (A), - (B), 4-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x2x4x2 = 80 x .50 = $40 All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup (4-11 in 11th): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 BEL/AQU POST-SCRATCHES 6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Occult 3-1 4th Next Best: #3 Padma 9-5 WON ($3.90) Best Value: #6 Royal Poppy 12-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Spun Special 8-1 3rd [u]7th: Jockey Club Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 11f-T (P5, P3, DD)/U] Most Likely: #1 McKulick 4-5 WON ($3.60) Best Value: #5 Miss Yearwood 8-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Toskana Belle 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #6 Beside Herself 4-1 4th 8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Klickitat 5-1 4th Next Best: #6 Immortalization 6-1 8th Exotics Use: #4 Phantom Smoke 7-2 7th Super Add: #7 Carpe's Dream 12-1 5th 9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Expressman 2-5 2nd Next Best: #5 Nabokov 6-1 WON ($18.00) Exotics Use: #2 Mackillop 6-1 6th Super Add: #1a American Gentleman 10-1 3rd 10th: Jockey Club Derby (G3), 3yo, 12f-T (DD) Best Value: #6 Ardakan 4-1 4th Next Best: #3 Nations Pride 1-1 WON ($3.10) Exotics Use: #1 Classic Causeway 2-1 3rd 11th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer Best Value: #9 Ard Macha 8-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Royal Dancer 7-5 WON ($3.30) Exotics Use: #4 Shinfull 9-2 2nd Super Add: #7 Lemon Red 8-1 8th P5 Grid: 7: 1 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C) 8: 4-6-7-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 7 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C) 10: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 8-9 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 1x5x1x2x4 = $40 ($20 for .50) All A's: 1x5x1x2x2 = 20 x .50 = $10 Backups: $20 (4-5 in 7th) + $20 (2-5 in 9th) P4 Grid: 8: 4-6-7-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 7 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C) 10: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 8-9 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 5x1x2x4 = $40 ($20 for .50) All A's: 5x1x2x2 = 20 x .50 = $10 Backup: $20 (2-5 in 9th) WOODBINE POST-SCRATCHES 6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-70y (P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Bijou Baby 6-1 3rd Best Value: #4 Bedazzle Me 8-1 6th Next Best: #10 State of Mind 3-1 WON ($7.80) Exotics Use: #7 Flysofreeashleeb 4-1 8th 7th: Summer (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (.20 P6, .20 P5, P3, DD) Best Value: #3 Appraise 5-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Mysterious Night 6-5 WON ($3.10) Exotics Use: #6 Phillip My Dear 2-1 3rd Super Add: #5 Sammy Stone 20-1 6th [u]8th Seaway (G3), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)[u] Streaking Hazelbrook irresistible at 8-1 (or so) against usual suspects here.. Best Value: #7 Hazelbrook 8-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Lady Speightspeare 2-1 WON ($4.90) Exotics Use: #5 Souper Sensational 3-1 3rd Super Add: #1 Beyond Mybudget 10-1 7th 9th: Woodbine Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (.20 P4, P3, DD) Ivar at 4-1 easily preferable to overrated Modern Games. Homer Screen's near miss to top West Coast miler Hong Kong Harry makes him a player at attractive number.. Most Likely: #2 Ivar 4-1 2nd Best Value: #7 Homer Screen 10-1 11th Next Best: #5 Modern Games 7-5 WON ($3.50) Exotics Use: #6 Shirl's Speight 12-1 4th 10th: Natalma (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD) One of the day's most interesting groups. Sure looks like there's pace aplenty.. Best Value: #3 G Laurie 4-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Wickenheiser 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #1 Cairo Consort 2-1 2nd Super Add: #5 Adora 6-1 5th 11th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (DD) Most Likely: #7 Big Band Luzziann 3-1 WON ($8.60) Next Best: #5 Lido Key 5-2 2nd Next Best Value: #4 Gabby Squared 20-1 4th Exotics Use: #6 Guileful 8-1 10th P5 Grid: 7: 1-3 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C) 8: 7-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 2 (A), 7 (B), - (C) 10: 1-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 P4 Grid: 8: 7-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 2-7 (A), - (B), 5 (C) 10: 1-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 4-5-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4 = $48 ($24 for .50) Backup (5 in 9th): 2x1x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-18-2022 at 06:10 AM. 
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#2
09-17-2022, 11:46 AM
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Does them scratching the 1 hoss in that maiden race 5th at Churchill puzzle you ? That is a great maiden race . Heard Angry Eyes on the radio this morning so I guess I’m supposed to bet Loggins . Love that tune.
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#3
09-17-2022, 11:48 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
09-17-2022, 06:05 PM
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modern games
quote of the year
overrated modern games..... YIKES just given you the needle steve
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#5
09-17-2022, 07:53 PM
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Quote:
Steve was right. His 2022 form was solid but hardly spectacular, especially as of late ( though his last was very good ). The reality is the Godolphin horses seem to run through walls when shipped to Woodbine. Must be the Molsons.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#6
09-18-2022, 03:53 PM
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Quote:
A horse someone doesn't like wins by 6 lengths and they're considered to be right??? My gosh 
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#8
09-18-2022, 06:16 PM
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Quote:
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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Linear Mode
