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#1
09-14-2022, 05:23 AM
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9/14: Kentucky Downs (Closing Day; 5th-12th)
KENTUCKY DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES 5th: H'cap, 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD) Best Value: #8 Duke of Hazzard 10-1 WON ($9.66) Next Best: #6 Accredit 8-1 3rd Exotics Use: #9 Field Pass 5-2 5th Super Add: #7 Majestic Eagle 20-1 8th 6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Too Many Twizzlers 4-1 WON ($7.32) Best Value: #9 Blue Norther 10-1 10th Next Best: #1 Sousa Summer 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Favorite Outlaw 6-1 11th 7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Amaryllis Kiss 7-2 6th Best Value: #8 Fiddle 10-1 2nd Next Best: #12 Point Well Taken 7-5 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Rosalita 6-1 4th 8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD) Favored Evan Sing is OK, but not sure the 6.5f benefits him.. Best Value: #6 Cloudy 8-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Lyrical Poet 6-1 8th Exotics Use: #10 Summer Assault 12-1 10th Super Add: #8 Shadow Sphinx 6-1 9th 9th: Juvenile, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Really Good 5-2 3rd Next Best: #8 Reckoning Force 5-1 WON ($10.58) Best Value: #10 Mikey Bananas 12-1 8th Exotics Use: #9 Laver 8-1 5th P5 Grid: 5: 6-8-9 (A), 7 (B), - (C) 6: 4-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 6-7 (A), 1-2-8-10 (B), - (C) 9: 2 (A), - (B), 8 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 P4 Grid: 6: 4-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 6-7-8-10 (A), 1-2-4 (B), - (C) 9: 2 (A), 8 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x7x2 = 84 x .50 = $42 All A's: 2x3x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 Backup: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 10th: Gun Runner, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Fuerteventura 9-2 2nd Next Best: #8 St Anthony 12-1 4th Next Best: #12 American Mayhem 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #9 Fort Washington 5-1 5th 11th: One Dreamer-R, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (DD) Most Likely: #2 Burning Ambition 6-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Curly Ruth 12-1 - Next Best: #8 Navratilova 5-1 - Exotics Use: #7 Alms 7-2 WON ($) 12th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Must Pay Hi-5) Slightly mysterious end to the season. Navy Fleet a half to Ivar for Paolo Lobo. Most Likely: #10 Revenue Train 5-1 Next Best: #4 Letter of Gold 9-5 Best Value: #3 Take It South 20-1 Exotics Use: #11 Self Confident 8-1 Hi-5 Play: #6 Beck and Girl 12-1 P5 Grid: 8: 6-7-10 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C) 9: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 6 (A), - (B), 8-12 (C) 11: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 12: 4-10 (A), 3-11 (B), 5-6 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x2x1x3x4 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (8-12 in 10th): 3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36; (5-6 in 12th) 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 P4 Grid: 9: 2-8 (A), - (B), 9-10 (C) 10: 6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 12: 4-10 (A), 3-5-6-11 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x6 = 108 x .50 = $54 All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (9-10 in 9th): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-14-2022 at 07:17 PM. 
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#2
09-14-2022, 10:27 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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