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#1
08-27-2022, 09:53 AM
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Day 33 Travers Day!
Fantastic card today. I know a few of the stakes are light in terms of number of entrants but the quality is there. Let's make some money. Best bet: Race 11- #8 Zandon I flirted with making G Munning in the 4th my best bet because I think that horse has a big shot but ultimately landed on Zandon in the Travers. First, pricewise, I think he's going to get lost on the board and will be 5th choice behind Epicenter, Artorious, Cyberknife and Early Voting. I think the Jim Dandy was a prep in every sense of the word. He was much closer to the pace than he had ever been and made the first move on Early Voting because Prat didn't want him to get away in that small field. He's much better when he can relax early and make one run. I thought he ran well in the Jim Dandy making that first move and then digging in to hang on for 2nd. I'm just hoping he's sitting 3rd or 4th early, makes the one run and can run down whoever is in front at that point. Longshot: Race 12- #6 Fuoco Serpe barn has been going well all meet. I think this horse rates a big chance today based off his last where he blew open the race around the turn and tired late in a race that fell apart. The two horses he put away around the turn ended up finishing 8th and 10th (last). Should be a giant price anyway and going from Jose Ortiz to Trevor McCarthy should add a few points as well. Good luck! 
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#2
08-28-2022, 12:41 PM
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Quote:
Meet totals $264 wagered $283.40 returned
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#3
08-28-2022, 12:53 PM
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Day 34
Best bet: Race 9- #3 Caramel Swirl Super tough race where the entire field can win. I'm very excited to bet this filly today. Got an easy prep, won here last year and I think she sits a perfect trip behind the pace, while getting first run on the closers. I just think she is the now filly and should be in the 8 to 10-1 range. Longshot: Race 8- #3 Fluid Situation This is a major stab. But, he worked well on the turf 9 days ago, with his rider Javier Castellano up. Is a half to a few turf winners, should be alone on the lead on a course that plays very kindly to inside speed and I love the confidence of running him here. He has all of his conditions still and Terranova thinks this is where they want to try him on grass first out. Besides, who are the world beaters in here to be afraid of? I'll take a shot at what should be 20 to 25-1.
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#4
08-31-2022, 10:31 AM
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Quote:
Meet totals $272 wagered $295.60 returned
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#5
08-31-2022, 10:41 AM
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Day 35
Last week, 6 more days of the best meet in the world. Hopefully we can finish off strong. Best bet: Race 4- #2 Baby Blythe She was a best bet earlier in the meet, was going way too long, was very rank early chasing a slow pace and stopped. Back to the right distance, should get speed to help her run and I have always thought she's a filly was a lot of talent. Hopefully she has one of her good days today Longshot: Race 7- #3 Duress Tough race where if Seven Scents shows up, the rest are probably running for 2nd. But with Keeneland right around the corner, seems like they are throwing this one away. I wanted to take a shot with Duress who I think Prat will fit like a glove. This is the right level, should be in a good spot behind speed to get first run on closers and I thought he ran better than the winner last time (who is in here) chasing the slow pace.
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#6
09-01-2022, 10:28 AM
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Quote:
Meet totals $280 wagered $295.60 returned
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#7
09-01-2022, 11:11 AM
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Day 36
Best bet: Race 6- #7 Mo Saturdays I'm either going to be way right about this horse or way wrong, but if he's as good as I think he is, I'm going to score out. 25k yearling buy and then brought 60k at Ocala March a few months back. Worked a good looking 10 and 1 at the sale. Been working steady since late June and it would appear that he really has picked it up since he got to Saratoga. I watched his work on 7/28, 8/20 and 8/26. On 7/28 he worked with stakes winner Masqueparade. He was under a hammerlock the entire work and finished on even terms with his workmate who went on to finish 2nd to Art Collector in the Alydar after this work. On 8/20 he worked in company with two others. One was Gilcrease, who broke his maiden impressively a few weeks before this and a horse who hasn't started yet. They kept Mo Saturdays behind the other two and he was again under a hammerlock. When the rider got him outside the other two, he lengthened his stride and picked up Gilcrease right before the wire to outfinish him by a neck while never asked. Last time he worked with the filly Forever After All who has been 2nd in back to back MSW's at Churchill and Saratoga. This time he was on the point, again under a hammerlock, never asked and easily outworked his stablemate who was asked throughout the final furlong. He's a 1/2 to a turf winner and while he's worked really well on dirt, I have to trust Al Stall knows what he is doing running him on grass. Maybe he's just a morning glory, but if he transfers the morning form, I think they are all running for 2nd. Longshot: Race 9- #2 Gustiamo I think she got the standard Jose Ortiz no effort ride last time, falling back and I think she surprised him a bit when she really started running. Sibs are good, Donk typically better after a race and she just felt like the kind of horse that will really improve with a start under her belt and mows them down late.
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