8/9: Colonial ($82k P5 C/O; Hickory Tree, Keswick)

[Kasept]

COLONIAL


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Hickory Tree-VA, 2yo, 5f (P3, DD)

Russell's Heldish (7-2) the horse to beat, but Jerry Robb debuts Bandits Heart (Great Notion), a half to 17x winner Anna's Bandit ($800k) and full to Bandits Warrior (Mosler) who broke maiden going 5.5f at PIM..

Best Value: #6 Bandits Warrior 12-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Heldish 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Simply Super 9-5 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #1 Grand Escape 6-1 3rd


6th: MCLM/$16k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (P5, P3, DD)

Hellish start to $82k P5 sequence with at least 8 win candidates. And they're separated by about 3L on figs..

Best Value: #11 Cainudothetwist 10-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Coffee Bean 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #14 Beastie Girl 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #3 Wi Fi 8-1 6th


7th: Keswick-VA, 2yo-F, 5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Cocktail Dreaming 7-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Naval Empire 3-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Titoschangedmyluck 12-1 WON ($29.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Back Seat Betty 4-1 8th


8th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-Inner (P3, DD)

Tricky pace and class read here. Feels like 1-2-3-5-6-7 are all eligible..

Best Value: #3 The Queen Jules 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Medicine Tail 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Strong Headed 5-1 WON ($8.20)
Super Add: #6 Colonist 10-1 5th


9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Smile Bryan 4-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #6 Clear N Convincing 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Packed House 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Big One 8-1 8th


10th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-Inner

Best Value: #5 Justin's Quest 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Andthethunderrolls 7-2
Exotics Use: #2 Power Through 9-2 7th9th
Super Add: #6 Tijuana Brass 10-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

6: 11-12-14 (A), - (B), 1-5-8 (C)
7: 4 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-6 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
10: 2-5-11 (A), 6-8-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (1-5-8 in 6th; C-A-A-A-A): 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 4-9 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-6 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
10: 2-5-11 (A), 6-8-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (8 in 6th; C-A-A-A): 1x2x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6


Good luck!
Steve