8/25: Saratoga (Day 30; 5th-10th)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

At least 4 (Brown, Terranova, Lynch, O'Dwyer), maybe 5 with Rice, players with clearly established talented and only graduates today..

Best Value: #5 Kawhi Me a River 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Digital Future 6-5 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Cool Quest 9-2 4th
Super Add: #9 First Law 3-1 2nd


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Murky bunch of state-bred gals..

Most Likely: #8 Waterville 3-1 WON-Up via DQ ($5.00)
Next Best: #3 Whatlovelookslike 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Oak Loves a Fight 9-2 6th
Super Add: #7 Preposterous 10-1 4th


7th: NY-CLM/$25k, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Doubt 9-2 holds on 3rd choice Gandy Dancing; Just Right first off the claim and looking to get Bruce Levine off the duck..

Best Value: #2 Gandy Dancing 9-2 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #7 Just Right 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Binkster 5-2 8th
Super Add: #8 Dark Money 5-1 3rd


8th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Winter Pool the clear horse to beat, but improving Tommy, solid Hombrazo and competitive with these last time Rye Time all within striking range..

Most Likely: #5 Winter Pool 2-1 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #7 Top Gun Tommy 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Hombrazo 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Tiz Rye Time 8-1 4th


9th: John's Call-R, 4+, 13f-T (DD)

Very well matched group in terms of accomplishment and performance level, but note an absolute absence of pace among them. So what can we project? How about Luis Saez getting aggressive with Ry's the Guy (6-1) who has shown the most front end interest and ability to date. And he's liable to be the 5th or 6th choice..

Best Value: #7 Ry's the Guy 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Shamrocket 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Ajourneytofreedom 7-2 5th
Super Add: #6 Fantasioso 6-1 3rd


10th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

My Candy Girl the filly to beat, but Come Storming SCR drops to level of claim (and win) and is dirtied up from complicated trip in last. Rosario. 6-1. That's us. Note that John Stephens brought Seeking Revenge from MTH for a similar spot last year and was 3rd. 20-1 and in competitive form..

Best Value: #4 Seeking Revenge 20-1 10th
Next Best: #11 My Candy Girl 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Wicked Amber 15-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Jazzy Lady 9-2 6th


P5 Grid:

6: 3-8 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
7: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), 7 (B), 2-4 (C)
9: 3-4-7 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-8 (C)
10: 4-11 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
.50 Backups: $36 (2-4 in 8th); $12 (1-8 in 9th); $18 (5-6)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
9: 3-4-7 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-8 (C)
10: 4-11 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x2 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
.50 Backups: $12 (2-4 in 8th); $12 (1-8 in 9th); $12 (5-6)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S