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Old 01-02-2021, 07:58 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 1/2: Santa Anita (5th-9th)

SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Modest looking group with 4 first time starters and 3 returning for their second. 3-1 Glatt fave Katerini likely better now adding Lasix and hood after decent bow in productive October race..

Most Likely: #10 Katerini 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Karalinka 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Bleu Ballon 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Majestic Steps 6-1 WON ($18.80)


6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Quality ALW marks return of Shooter's Shoot (last seen in SA Derby) & King Abner (2nd to Gift Box in San Antonio). Note too the presence of first time Jon Wong Fortune Ticket (30-1), a beautifully bred (Candy Ride out of Gun Runner sister & $400k earner Quiet Giant) colt formerly with Asmussen that was bought by the new connections at KEE NOV for $27k. Fair amount of speed signed to seemingly assure an honest pace..

Most Likely: #6 Kershaw 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 King Abner 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Paladar 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Fortune Ticket 30-1 7th


7th: San Gabriel (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Ouchy but always improving Bob and Jackie returns as a 5yo and won't have to deal with Mo Forza today. Sidebar in this nice set is the meeting of far flung Sam-Son heritage products Cleopatra's Strike and Count Again..

Best Value: #3 Bob and Jackie 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Count Again 2-1 DNF/Pulled up
Exotics Use: #2 Next Shares 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Cleopatra's Strike 15-1 6th


8th: Sham (G3), 3yo, 1m (DD, Hi-5)

All eyes on Life Is Good off 'as he pleased' 91 Beyer debut. Question thst needs answering is his ability to relax. Shirreffs' Parnelli took 4 tries to break maiden but lost to good ones along the way and owns distance and experience edges. Baffert's other runner ~ Medina Spirit ~ takes off hood and is bred to stretch out.. and out some more..

Most Likely: #5 Life Is Good 2-5 WON ($2.40)
Best Value: #1 Medina Spirit 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Parnelli 5-2 3rd


9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f-T (Hi-5)

Love me some Sparky Ville who gets back on the lawn and has plenty of class..

Most Likely: #7 Sparky Ville 4-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Mesut 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Oiseau de Guerre 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Ultimate Bango 5-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #10 Encoder 8-1 10th


P5 Grid:

5: 10 (A), - (B), 3-4-7 (C)
6: 6-8-10 (A), 1-4-9 (B), - (C)
7: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 3-9-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x2x1x5 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 1x3x2x1x2 = 12 x $2 = $24
Backups: $18 (w/ 3-4-7) + $12 (w/ 1-3) = $30


P4 Grid:

6: 6-8-10 (A), 1-4-9 (B), - (C)
7: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
9: 3-4-7-9 (A), 1-2-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x1x7 = 84 x .50 = $42
All A's: 3x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: 3x2x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (w/ 1-3)


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-02-2021 at 07:19 PM.
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Old 01-02-2021, 02:17 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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