here is what i think,start calling me a dummy

[cakes44]

I think he wins easy because he’s in unreal condition + more talented than these, or he finishes off the board because he’s way over the top. I don’t see any in-between, but the race is 3 weeks away.

O’Neill’s horse seemed to like Belmont just fine...

[Alabama Stakes]

He looks the part. I think that is the key. He looks that good. He has looked like a superhoss from the beginning. He is intelligent. The way he goes he will be impossible to beat in the Belmont. He will eat up those big wide turns and win by double digits.

[Kitan]

Originally Posted by cakes44

I think he wins easy because he’s in unreal condition + more talented than these, or he finishes off the board because he’s way over the top. I don’t see any in-between, but the race is 3 weeks away.

O’Neill’s horse seemed to like Belmont just fine...

Ideal trip never hurts...

[Dunbar]

Justify finished a rapidly diminishing half-length in front of two previously unremarkable 3-yr-olds, and now he's unbeatable in the Belmont? I don't think so.

[jms62]

Watch for one Ortiz brother to go on a suicide pace mission to setup the other... Smith has to avoid falling for it...

[casp0555]

Originally Posted by jms62

Watch for one Ortiz brother to go on a suicide pace mission to setup the other... Smith has to avoid falling for it...

The NY shuffle tactic....works pretty often

[ontheoutside]

that's good but with all due respect to dunbar no one will do what good magic did for as long as he did it justify wont be under pressure like Preakness just not going to happen

now everyone says horses will go on suiside mission and justify must not fall into trap
remember folks he knows how to sit the trip
my opinion it wont be close
for my sake I hope im worong because I bet the longshots
but I just think im right here

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Justify finished a rapidly diminishing half-length in front of two previously unremarkable 3-yr-olds, and now he's unbeatable in the Belmont? I don't think so.

I agree with Dunbar. I'm looking to bet against Justify in the Belmont. He will be way overbet and he is coming off only an average performance. Even horses who look like world beaters winning the Ky Derby and Preakness usually get beat in the Belmont. Here we have a horse coming off an unimpressive win. I think there is a good chance that the hard campaign he has had in a relatively short period of time is starting to catch up with him. We will know more when we see him train over the next couple of weeks. I will be looking for any minor change in his appearance. We will see if his energy level galloping is as good as it has been the last couple of months. If he looks as good as ever, then I won't be in such a big hurry to bet against him. But if I see even a minor change in his appearance, I will be eager to bet against him.

[ontheoutside]

I must ask what was unimpressive about it? he was stalked by the champion 2 yr old for a mile and 2/16th unimpressive? really?

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by ontheoutside

I must ask what was unimpressive about it? he was stalked by the champion 2 yr old for a mile and 2/16th unimpressive? really?

His Ky Derby performance was obviously very impressive. He set suicide fractions and still won relatively easily. In the Preakness the pace was average and he barely beat Bravazo. Barely beating Bravazo after setting dead average fractions is not impressive to me. Examples of impressive performances in the Preakness would be Funny Cide, Smarty Jones, Big Brown, and horses like that. And even those horses got beat in the Belmont.

This 2018 Preakness was one of the least impressive Preaknesses, if not the least impressive in the last 20 years IMO.

[ontheoutside]

good luck on the belmont

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

In the Preakness the pace was average and he barely beat Bravazo. Barely beating Bravazo after setting dead average fractions is not impressive to me.

Justify and Good Magic ran the fastest opening quarter for a route race the entire Pimlico weekend and also set the fastest mile time as well. This is particularly relevant because the Preakness was the longest race of the weekend.

They went fast early and sustained it into the far turn.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

His Ky Derby performance was obviously very impressive. He set suicide fractions and still won relatively easily. In the Preakness the pace was average and he barely beat Bravazo. Barely beating Bravazo after setting dead average fractions is not impressive to me. Examples of impressive performances in the Preakness would be Funny Cide, Smarty Jones, Big Brown, and horses like that. And even those horses got beat in the Belmont.

This 2018 Preakness was one of the least impressive Preaknesses, if not the least impressive in the last 20 years IMO.

I don’t quite understand the contempt for Bravazo. As a bettor, sure he’s frustrating because it seems like there are races where he just doesn’t want to run. But when he’s on, he normally puts together a good race.

He’s now run well in both Triple Crown races. His performances deserve a little bit of respect.

As far as Justify’s performance in the Preakness, does anyone know the last time the Derby and Preakness were both run in wet conditions? Is there any way Justify didn’t come out of the Derby 100% (we heard the scratches / heel bruise stuff) and he didn’t take to the wet surface as well the second time around because of it?

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Justify finished a rapidly diminishing half-length in front of two previously unremarkable 3-yr-olds, and now he's unbeatable in the Belmont? I don't think so.

This feels silly.

[richard burch]

One of those tough ones. Definitely would love to see another triple crown winner. If he is home free down the stretch I will be cheering for him.

For wagering I am hoping he finishes 3rd or worse. I am considering a box exacta with all but Him.