Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-16-2017, 07:57 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

I find it amazing that basically nobody is discussing this race honestly. It is NOT a $16 million race. It does NOT cost $1 million for a spot. It cost $350K for a spot. As of now, eight spots have been sold for $350K, or a total of $2.8 million. Add that to the $4 million of added money, and you have a $6.8 million race. Stronach Group claiming they are buying the other four spots makes no sense. I thought the deadline for buying a spot was this past week. I guess if Stronach wants to put up another $1.4 million and give out four more spots, it's their prerogative, and that money can be added to the pool, making it an $8.2 million race. That is the maximum it's worth. This "everyone gets at least $650K back" should not be recognized as part of the purse.

Stronach Group is putting up a ton of money for this race and they should be applauded for that. However, that doesn't buy them the right to create a fraudulent purse. The Jockey Club cannot recognize the $650K "earned" by the also rans. What's next, the KY Derby advertised as a $500 million race, with each entrant supposedly anteing up $25 million to run, with all starters guaranteed $24.9 million in earnings? Will the Jockey Club then have 20 horses that annually earn in excess of $25 million? How is this different?

Let's celebrate the race as a generous outlay by the Stronach Group that is a present to racing fans. But, let's not call it something it's not.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-17-2017, 07:33 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,883
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
I find it amazing that basically nobody is discussing this race honestly. It is NOT a $16 million race. It does NOT cost $1 million for a spot. It cost $350K for a spot. As of now, eight spots have been sold for $350K, or a total of $2.8 million. Add that to the $4 million of added money, and you have a $6.8 million race. Stronach Group claiming they are buying the other four spots makes no sense. I thought the deadline for buying a spot was this past week. I guess if Stronach wants to put up another $1.4 million and give out four more spots, it's their prerogative, and that money can be added to the pool, making it an $8.2 million race. That is the maximum it's worth. This "everyone gets at least $650K back" should not be recognized as part of the purse.

Stronach Group is putting up a ton of money for this race and they should be applauded for that. However, that doesn't buy them the right to create a fraudulent purse. The Jockey Club cannot recognize the $650K "earned" by the also rans. What's next, the KY Derby advertised as a $500 million race, with each entrant supposedly anteing up $25 million to run, with all starters guaranteed $24.9 million in earnings? Will the Jockey Club then have 20 horses that annually earn in excess of $25 million? How is this different?

Let's celebrate the race as a generous outlay by the Stronach Group that is a present to racing fans. But, let's not call it something it's not.
Probably a lot of people agree with you and the lack of discussion is complete apathy towards the race. I’m sure the trolls would be out in force on Twitter if there was general disagreement to what you are saying.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-17-2017, 07:54 AM
Konk Konk is offline
Detroit Race Course
 
Join Date: Oct 2016
Posts: 279
Default

Franky should spent some of that money to buy a decent timer for GP - which has been an embarrassment to racing for many years now.

To me, it is a 2-bit race.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 12-17-2017, 10:22 AM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Thumbs up

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
I find it amazing that basically nobody is discussing this race honestly. It is NOT a $16 million race. It does NOT cost $1 million for a spot. It cost $350K for a spot. As of now, eight spots have been sold for $350K, or a total of $2.8 million. Add that to the $4 million of added money, and you have a $6.8 million race. Stronach Group claiming they are buying the other four spots makes no sense. I thought the deadline for buying a spot was this past week. I guess if Stronach wants to put up another $1.4 million and give out four more spots, it's their prerogative, and that money can be added to the pool, making it an $8.2 million race. That is the maximum it's worth. This "everyone gets at least $650K back" should not be recognized as part of the purse.

Stronach Group is putting up a ton of money for this race and they should be applauded for that. However, that doesn't buy them the right to create a fraudulent purse. The Jockey Club cannot recognize the $650K "earned" by the also rans. What's next, the KY Derby advertised as a $500 million race, with each entrant supposedly anteing up $25 million to run, with all starters guaranteed $24.9 million in earnings? Will the Jockey Club then have 20 horses that annually earn in excess of $25 million? How is this different?

Let's celebrate the race as a generous outlay by the Stronach Group that is a present to racing fans. But, let's not call it something it's not.
!
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12-31-2017, 07:07 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,249
Default

Giant Expectations added to the field..

1. Gun Runner (Winchell/Three Chimneys) Asmussen/Geroux
2. Collected (Speedway) Baffert/Smith
3. West Coast (West) Baffert/Castellano
4. Gunnevera (Peacock Racing) Sano/Saez
5. Seeking the Soul (Fipke) Stewart/J. Velazquez
6. Toast of New York (Al Shaqab/Reeves) Osbourne/Dettori
7. War Story (Loooch) Navarro/J. Ortiz
8. Stellar Wind (Coolmore) C. Brown/Rosario
9. Fear the Cowboy (Stronach, Frankel & Frankel, Amayo & Centofanti) Loza/Gaffalione
10. Giant Expectations (Exline-Border, Gatto & Zubok) Eurton/Stevens
11. Sharp Azteca (Loooch) Navarro/I. Ortiz Jr.
12. Open ~ Singing Bullet/Giuseppe the Great/J Boys Echo
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 01-22-2018 at 10:35 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 12-31-2017, 08:30 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

TBD should be a real doozy.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 12-31-2017, 09:02 PM
pweizer's Avatar
pweizer pweizer is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Leominster, MA
Posts: 1,599
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
TBD should be a real doozy.
At least TBD will end up among the leading money earners in 2018 following his last place finish.

Paul
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 12-31-2017, 09:05 PM
Indian Charlie's Avatar
Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Southern Maine
Posts: 8,708
Default

What if TBD turns out to be Winx?
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 01-02-2018, 05:30 AM
MinnSkinny's Avatar
MinnSkinny MinnSkinny is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Hot Springs, Arkansas
Posts: 1,290
Default

Running Winx in this race would be incredible.
__________________
2705 Central Avenue
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 01-03-2018, 09:49 PM
taxicab's Avatar
taxicab taxicab is offline
Ellis Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 484
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Giant Expectations added to the field..

1. Gun Runner (Winchell/Three Chimneys)
2. Collected (Speedway)
3. West Coast (West)
4. Gunnevera (Peacock Racing)
5. Seeking the Soul (Fipke)
6. Toast of New York (Al Shaqab/Reeves)
7. War Story (Loooch)
8. Stellar Wind (Coolmore) ~ Anticipated
9. TBD (Stronach)
10. Giant Expectations (Exline-Border, Gatto & Zubok
11. Sharp Azteca (New owner pending) ~ Expected
12. Open

This is actually looking like an OK betting race.
If Sharp Azteca goes that would be a big plus.
In terms of the Stronach entry,if he sticks to his Adena runners it almost has to be Ice Festival.........off price probably around 75-1 with this bunch.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 01-12-2018, 04:51 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,249
Default

Deals in place on 2 of 3 Stronach-retained slots..
http://www.drf.com/news/stronach-gro...-pegasus-slots
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 01-23-2018, 03:25 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,249
Default

1. Gun Runner (Winchell/Three Chimneys) Asmussen/Geroux
2. Collected (Speedway) Baffert/Smith
3. West Coast (West) Baffert/Castellano
4. Gunnevera (Peacock Racing) Sano/Saez
5. Seeking the Soul (Fipke) Stewart/J. Velazquez
6. Toast of New York (Al Shaqab/Reeves) Osbourne/Dettori
7. War Story (Loooch) Navarro/J. Ortiz
8. Stellar Wind (Coolmore) C. Brown/Rosario
9. Fear the Cowboy (Stronach, Frankel & Frankel, Amayo & Centofanti) Loza/Gaffalione
10. Giant Expectations (Exline-Border, Gatto & Zubok) Eurton/Stevens
11. Sharp Azteca (Loooch) Navarro/I. Ortiz Jr.
12. Singing Bullet (The Stronach Group) Romans/Albarado
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 01-23-2018 at 12:00 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 01-23-2018, 11:23 AM
declansharbor's Avatar
declansharbor declansharbor is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Exit 30
Posts: 6,357
Default

I know I cant be the only one that thinks this race sets up differently than the BCC for Gun Runner because of the early zip that's sure to be shown by Sharp Azteca (amongst others, seemingly).

This is not at all saying Gun Runner won't excel with the stalk and pounce trip, but the chase and fade trip can't fully be dismissed either. While he'll be on top of 95% of my tickets, I will also be playing the scenario that benefits a few of the closers, while keying GR and West Coast in 3rd and 4th.

Hope everyone enjoys themselves and makes some money this weekend!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital"

- Nathan Israel
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 01-23-2018, 11:59 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,249
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
1. Gun Runner (Winchell/Three Chimneys) Asmussen/Geroux
2. Collected (Speedway) Baffert/Smith
3. West Coast (West) Baffert/Castellano
4. Gunnevera (Peacock Racing) Sano/Saez
5. Seeking the Soul (Fipke) Stewart/J. Velazquez
6. Toast of New York (Al Shaqab/Reeves) Osbourne/Dettori
7. War Story (Loooch) Navarro/J. Ortiz
8. Stellar Wind (Coolmore) C. Brown/Rosario
9. Fear the Cowboy (Stronach, Frankel & Frankel, Amayo & Centofanti) Loza/Gaffalione
10. Giant Expectations (Exline-Border, Gatto & Zubok) Eurton/Stevens
11. Sharp Azteca (Loooch) Navarro/I. Ortiz Jr.
12. Open ~ Singing Bullet/Giuseppe the Great/J Boys Echo
And the 12th Peg Goose is... Singing Bullet.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 01-17-2018, 10:07 PM
richard burch's Avatar
richard burch richard burch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: new jersey
Posts: 1,752
Default

MOST LIKELY WINNER
1. Gun Runner (Winchell/Three Chimneys)
3. West Coast (West)
8. Stellar Wind (Coolmore) ~ Anticipated
11. Sharp Azteca (New owner pending) ~ Expected

ON A GOOD DAY
2. Collected (Speedway)
5. Seeking the Soul (Fipke)
10. Giant Expectations (Exline-Border
12. Fear the Cowboy


NOT A CHANCE
6. Toast of New York (Al Shaqab/Reeves)
7. War Story (Loooch)
4. Gunnevera (Peacock Racing)
9. Singing Bullet
__________________
Support your local Re-run or horse rescue organization.
https://www.rerunottb.com/:)
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 01-16-2018, 07:16 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,249
Default

Quote:
1. Gun Runner (Winchell/Three Chimneys)
2. Collected (Speedway)
3. West Coast (West)
4. Gunnevera (Peacock Racing)
5. Seeking the Soul (Fipke)
6. Toast of New York (Al Shaqab/Reeves)
7. War Story (Loooch)
8. Stellar Wind (Coolmore)
9. Singing Bullet (Stronach) ~ Likely
10. Giant Expectations (Exline-Border, Gatto & Zubok)
11. Sharp Azteca (Loooch)
12. Fear the Cowboy (Amayo & Centofanti)
Fear the Cowboy set to take 3rd of the open slots.. Singing Bullet appears poised to be the Stronach runner.. Stellar Wind doing better and better and looks to be a go..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 01-16-2018, 08:15 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Fear the Cowboy set to take 3rd of the open slots.. Singing Bullet appears poised to be the Stronach runner.. Stellar Wind doing better and better and looks to be a go..
How could Singing Bullet not run after that scintillating prep?

He makes Fear the Cowboy look like Hindoo.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 01-16-2018, 08:58 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Gun Runner (Winchell/Three Chimneys)
2. Collected (Speedway)
3. West Coast (West)
4. Gunnevera (Peacock Racing)
5. Seeking the Soul (Fipke)
6. Toast of New York (Al Shaqab/Reeves)
7. War Story (Loooch)
8. Stellar Wind (Coolmore)
9. Singing Bullet (Stronach) ~ Likely
10. Giant Expectations (Exline-Border, Gatto & Zubok)
11. Sharp Azteca (Loooch)
12. Fear the Cowboy (Amayo & Centofanti)


How many can win The Donn? 3 IMO, Gun Runner 3/10 West Coast 12/1 and Stellar Wind 25/1...
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 01-16-2018, 10:39 AM
cakes44's Avatar
cakes44 cakes44 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,747
Default

The bottom end is the bottom of the barrel for a G1 race. Other than that, I think this race is more than a little bit interesting...mostly because SA is in. Don’t necessarily think he can win, and GP isn’t the best place to try to win at 1 1/8th on the lead in my betting experience, but he is a running motherf#%*er and will have an affect.
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 01-16-2018, 12:09 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 4,829
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Gun Runner (Winchell/Three Chimneys)
2. Collected (Speedway)
3. West Coast (West)
4. Gunnevera (Peacock Racing)
5. Seeking the Soul (Fipke)
6. Toast of New York (Al Shaqab/Reeves)
7. War Story (Loooch)
8. Stellar Wind (Coolmore)
9. Singing Bullet (Stronach) ~ Likely
10. Giant Expectations (Exline-Border, Gatto & Zubok)
11. Sharp Azteca (Loooch)
12. Fear the Cowboy (Amayo & Centofanti)


How many can win The Donn? 3 IMO, Gun Runner 3/10 West Coast 12/1 and Stellar Wind 25/1...
Stellar Wind can win? Sheesh
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:45 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.