11/3-4 (BC): POST DRAWN ~ Juvy, Juvy Turf; Juvy Filly, Juvy Filly Turf

[-BT-]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

Catholic Boy at 12-1 is mighty tasty

we all know Voting Control is gonna be much lower than 8-1, just based on who trains him. I think Masar kind of fell into favorite as this is a wide open betting race. How Encumbered is 15-1 and My Boy Jack is roughly half that price @ 8-1 is a little mind blowing considering he's beat Jack on the square twice already.

Gonna take a stand with Sands Of Mail @ 30-1. I think the oddsmaker really messed up this ml, and i think this horse has a big shot. Aside from him, none of the Euro's knocked me off my feet but i hope they all get pounded at the window.

-bt-

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by -BT-

we all know Voting Control is gonna be much lower than 8-1, just based on who trains him. I think Masar kind of fell into favorite as this is a wide open betting race. How Encumbered is 15-1 and My Boy Jack is roughly half that price @ 8-1 is a little mind blowing considering he's beat Jack on the square twice already.

Gonna take a stand with Sands Of Mail @ 30-1. I think the oddsmaker really messed up this ml, and i think this horse has a big shot. Aside from him, none of the Euro's knocked me off my feet but i hope they all get pounded at the window.

-bt-

I'm with you. That trainer almost won this race at 18:1 at Keeneland two years ago and why would he ship him off his last disaster if he didn't feel there was a very real excuse. His race two back can win this. Very usable horse at a big price.

I also agree about Voting Control, and think he's as likely, and probably more than likely, to win as any US based horse. He was much the best last time.

[taxicab]

The Juvy Filly kind of catches my longshot interest.
Mark Casse has three in this heat,the one that figures to take solid play is Heavenly Love.
Heavenly Love looked oh so good winning the Gr. 1 Alcibiades in 1:45.1 by 5+ lengths on 10/6.
Earlier on that 10/6 card Casse sent out Gio Game to break her maiden by 9 lengths in 1:44.4..........also looking like all the horse.
Of the three Casse runners,Gio Game is my lean.
The other price horse I like a bit is Blonde Bomber.
I don't think the ever sharp Stanley Gold is sending her out to DMR for the fish tacos.
Blonde Bomber stretched out to a mile and looked like new money.
Factor in her sneaky good workout the other day and she might be sitting on a big race.

[taxicab]

Thinking Coolmore might have a good Friday @ DMR.
Happily is no secret,the daughter of Galileo loved the extra distance skating by the Colts in a salty Gr. 1 on ARC day........giving the wildly talented filly the nod in the BCJFT.
In the Juvy Colt on the grass I like Mendelssohn for trainer AOB.
They put blinkers on him in his last race and he improved a ton.
The 3 million dollar son of Scat Daddy might be putting it all together at just the right time.

[taxicab]

Suddenly U S Navy Flag has become more appealing.
He mopped the floor with Fridays Juvy Grass Colt winner Mendelssohn in his most recent.
U S Navy Flag also has a nice turn of early foot,that should help him Saturday........hoping for 6-1 or so on him.

[10 pnt move up]

Price was a little crazy on the 12 there, 4w both turns confirms to me its an outside track, maybe a little against speed.

interesting, yesterday mid day people were screaming speed bias.