'17 CROWN TRAIL THREAD: Always Dreaming; Cloud Computing; Tapwrit

[Holybull1]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Jon White Projected Kentucky Derby ML

1. Girvin (Joe Sharp/Mike Smith) 15-1
2. Classic Empire (Mark Casse/Julien Leparoux) 5-1**
3. Gormley (John Shirreffs/Victor Espinoza) 15-1
4. Irap (Doug O'Neill/Mario Guttierez) 20-1
5. Irish War Cry (Graham Motion/Rajiv Maragh) 6-1
6. Thunder Snow (Saeed bin Suroor/Christophe Soumillon) 20-1
7. Always Dreaming (Todd Pletcher/John Velazquez) 6-1
8. Gunnevera (Antonio Sano/Javier Castellano) 12-1
9. Practical Joke (Chad Brown/Joel Rosario) 15-1
10. J Boys Echo (Dale Romans/Robby Albarado) 20-1
11. State of Honor (Mark Casse/TBA) 30-1
12. Conquest Mo Money (Miguel Hernandez/Jorge Carreno) 20-1
13. Tapwrit (Todd Pletcher/Jose Ortiz) 20-1
14. Malagacy (Todd Pletcher/TBA) 20-1
15. Hence (Steve Asmussen/Alfredo Juarez Jr.) 20-1
16. Fast and Accurate (Mike Maker/Tyler Gafflione) 50-1
17. McCraken (Ian Wilkes/Brian Hernandez Jr.) 8-1
18. Battle of Midway (Jerry Hollendorfer/Corey Nakatani) 30-1
19. Patch (Todd Pletcher/TBA) 30-1
20. Battalion Runner (Todd Pletcher/TBA) 20-1
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21. Cloud Computing (Chad Brown/Irad Ortiz Jr.-Manny Franco) 20-1
22. Untrapped (Steve Asmussen/Rafael Santana Jr.) 30-1
23. Lookin at Lee (Steve Asmussen/Rafael Santana Jr.) 30-1
24. Sonneteer (Keith Desormeaux/Kent Desormeaux) 30-1
25. Royal Mo (John Shirreffs/Gary Stevens) 30-1

Looks pretty spot-on.

[tywizard]

Originally Posted by Holybull1

Looks pretty spot-on.

132.5%

Some of these HAVE to be higher for the line to balance.

Moving IWC and Always Dreaming both to 8-1 makes it much more reasonable.

Here's my attempt:

Horse ML Odds
Girvin 12
Classic Empire 5
Gormley 20
Irap 20
Irish War Cry 6
Thunder Snow (IRE) 15
Always Dreaming 8
Gunnevera 15
Practical Joke 15
J Boys Echo 20
State of Honor 25
Conquest Mo Money 20
Tapwrit 25
Malagacy 40
Hence 20
Fast and Accurate 50
McCraken 8
Battle of Midway 25
Patch 30
Battalion Runner 25

[tywizard]

Is Juarez for sure confirmed on Hence?

Geroux looks to be available and would fit him well.