Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 04-15-2016, 04:57 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,965
Default 4/15: Keeneland (6th-10th); Oaklawn (7th-10th)

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Privy Council 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Verve's Tale 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Construe 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Upstage 12-1 8th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Fascinating situation here includes 5yo debut runaway Apologynotaccepted moved to Mott after Happy Alter brought on Gary Barber as a partner v. Mandy's Pope's $2.2MM I'll Take Charge returning as a 4yo under watch of GoldMark Farm trainer Todd Quast..

Most Likely: #5 Apologynotaccepted 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Improv 4-1 5th
Best Value: #7 I'll Take Charge 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Purim's Danawa 8-1 6th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Wild roundup of really solid ALW runners. Almost none look impossible and given the option of narrow use in earlier races, you could spread wide here..

Best Value: #5 Flatlined 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Chipit 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Quiet Ruler 5-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Afford 15-1 11th


9th: 28th Maker's 46 Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Terrific assembly here and Heart to Heart should have real company up front to keep things honest for everybody. Another spot to cast a wide net..

Best Value: #9 Reload 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Tourist 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Are You Kidding Me 12-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Itsaknockout 6-1 6th


10th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Dynamo Ridge 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Regulatory 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Big Joe Candy 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 L T's Best Tale SCR
Hi-5 Play: #6 Going Strong 7-2 WON ($7.00)


P5 Grid:

6: 3-9 (A), - (B), 4-11 (C)
7: 5 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 5-8-10 (A), 3-4-7 (B), - (C)
9: 4-9 (A), 1-3-7-8 (B), 2 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), - (B), 4-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x6x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)


P4 Grid:

7: 5 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 5-8-10 (A), 3-4-7 (B), - (C)
9: 1-4-8-9 (A), 3-7 (B), 2 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), 4-7 (B), 5-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x4x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)



OAKLAWN PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 29th Bachelor, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #6 Counterforce 2-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #7 Morning Fire 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Will Munnings 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 I Will Score 5-2 2nd


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Sweet Platinum 9-2 9th
Next Best: #9 Tapit Wicked 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Political Justice 8-1 10th
Super Add: #12 Bo Talon 15-1 6th


9th: 52nd Apple Blossom (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD)

"Horses aren't durable anymore".. except for these 6 fillies and mares I guess who are a combined 94/33-19-13 for $6MM..

Best Value: #5 Forever Unbridled 6-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #4 Untapable 6-5 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Tara's Tango 9-5 3rd
Super Add: #1 Call Pat 9-2 5th


10th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f

Most Likely: #8 War Ride 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Front Pocket Money 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #7 El Venue 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Rapid Red 8-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

7: 6-7 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
8: 1-4-9-12 (A), 2-3-5-7 (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 3 (B), 1 (C)
10: 6-8 (A), 7 (B), 1-3-4-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x8x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x4x2x2 = $32 ($16 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/5/5/6) Paid $660.00


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 04-15-2016 at 06:13 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 04-15-2016, 07:26 AM
tdtony tdtony is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 33
Default

hi steve

in the pick 4 grid in race 8 should the 10 be the 12
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 04-15-2016, 07:51 AM
maryhope maryhope is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 47
Cool Maryhope

Steve, Good luck today and safe journey during the Derby campaign, GOD Bless
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 04-15-2016, 07:59 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,801
Default

We will never get 6/1 on Unbridled Forever.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 04-15-2016, 10:47 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,965
Default

KEE SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 04-15-2016, 10:56 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,965
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by tdtony View Post
hi steve

in the pick 4 grid in race 8 should the 10 be the 12
Yes.. THX Tony! BOL today..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 04-15-2016, 11:41 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,965
Default

OP SCR/CHG'S
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 04-15-2016, 11:50 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,965
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by maryhope View Post
Steve, Good luck today and safe journey during the Derby campaign, GOD Bless
Maryhope..

Thanks so much! Good luck always and kind regards..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 04-15-2016, 11:51 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,965
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
We will never get 6/1 on Unbridled Forever.
Agreed. Was discussing with Andy who had discussed with Nick. The wild card is how much interest there is in Tara's Tango. G/L..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 04-15-2016, 05:43 PM
casp0555's Avatar
casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Humble,Texas
Posts: 19,032
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
We will never get 6/1 on Unbridled Forever.
Jim,
Do you remeber what I said about Unbridled Forever in Vegas?nobody was going to beat her that night..... she did it again
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 04-15-2016, 06:02 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,965
Default

Final Apple Blossom odds:

Forever Unbridled 4.20
Streamline 19.90
Tara's Tango 2.40
Untapable 0.90*
Theogony 26.80
Call Pat 6.10
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 04-15-2016, 06:14 PM
atolunch's Avatar
atolunch atolunch is online now
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,225
Default

Great job today Steve!!

Congrats and thanks as always!

Looks like we're headed into another Monster weekend
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 04-15-2016, 09:10 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,965
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
Great job today Steve!! Congrats and thanks as always!

Looks like we're headed into another Monster weekend
THX Larry.. Needed the Oaklawn pop to clean up the blood bath at KEE. Too bad we couldn't get the firster home. Hope everyone did OK..

Should be a fun Saturday.

Good night from Hot Springs!

__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 04-15-2016 at 09:43 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 04-15-2016, 10:15 PM
maryhope maryhope is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 47
Default Maryhope

Great job at Oaklawn Friday Steve, Life makes sense again , you are the best, Good luck Saturday
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 04-15-2016, 10:39 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,801
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
THX Larry.. Needed the Oaklawn pop to clean up the blood bath at KEE. Too bad we couldn't get the firster home. Hope everyone did OK..

Should be a fun Saturday.

Good night from Hot Springs!

great job at Oaklawn . Keeneland is a Home Run hitters ballpark, just takes 1 swing of the bat.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 04-16-2016, 05:08 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,965
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
great job at Oaklawn . Keeneland is a Home Run hitters ballpark, just takes 1 swing of the bat.
THX Jim.. Had the big Blue Grass Saturday at KEE and should take the profit, run and hide. But no.. Back to try again today! G/L later!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:36 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.