Too many intangibles that can change the course. Once you determine that you have a horse that has the potential to be in the mix come May, progression is the one thing that is critical. I don't think shipping a horse all over the country is the way to go. Look at 2 out of the last 3 years. Smarty and Barbaro campaigned at basically 2 tracks. The trainers picked their spots early on and stuck with the plan and as far as getting to the Derby with a chance, well we all know how it worked out for both. It goes in cycles I suppose. Right now, I guess Oaklawn is the hotbed. It looks like they are going to be loaded again down there. So many tracks and so many races that I really don't think it matters much as to which track.Barring any setbacks like an injury...pick a course, stick to the plan, and let the chips fall where they may. If it doesn't work out it the odds caught up with ya....
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12-10-2006, 08:35 AM
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