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  #1  
Old 06-02-2015, 01:50 PM
robfla robfla is offline
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Originally Posted by FATPIANO View Post
IF AP wins, he is 3 yr old champ and horse of the year, and will NEVER race again, they will retire him, it would be over and done, and the rest of the year will suck, IF he loses, we get to see him race again, against the the best 3 and 4 yr olds that are racing, I would rather he lose and continue to race and prove how great he could or could not be, and make HOY a real horserace........

so, whether he ever races again or not, depends on how he does in the Belmont???....yeah, sure

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  #2  
Old 06-02-2015, 02:26 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Originally Posted by robfla View Post
so, whether he ever races again or not, depends on how he does in the Belmont???....yeah, sure

I think that's a reasonable assumption. What are you thinking, that he'll be retired regardless? Good chance of that, too.

I'd give an immediate 3-1 to anyone thinking he'd start in the BCC after winning the Belmont.
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
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  #3  
Old 06-02-2015, 03:09 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
I think that's a reasonable assumption. What are you thinking, that he'll be retired regardless? Good chance of that, too.

I'd give an immediate 3-1 to anyone thinking he'd start in the BCC after winning the Belmont.
I'm in.
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  #4  
Old 11-01-2015, 04:41 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
I think that's a reasonable assumption. What are you thinking, that he'll be retired regardless? Good chance of that, too.

I'd give an immediate 3-1 to anyone thinking he'd start in the BCC after winning the Belmont.
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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
I'm in.
I'm glad you didn't pursue it!
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photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #5  
Old 06-02-2015, 03:28 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
I think that's a reasonable assumption. What are you thinking, that he'll be retired regardless? Good chance of that, too.

I'd give an immediate 3-1 to anyone thinking he'd start in the BCC after winning the Belmont.
You are being silly. Assuming he does win Zayat already sold the rights so whats the risk if he loses? and there are bonus's if he wins perhaps Travers/Haskell and certainly BCC. Not too mention that that purse for BCC is 3 million to winner. Why in the world would Zayat not need those dollars? Plus he apparently loves being in spotlight which he will be racing a TC winner. Baffert isnt shy about running sound horses and love MP so at least we could see him in Haskell although my guess would be that would better suite Dortmund
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Old 06-02-2015, 03:42 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
You are being silly. Assuming he does win Zayat already sold the rights so whats the risk if he loses? and there are bonus's if he wins perhaps Travers/Haskell and certainly BCC. Not too mention that that purse for BCC is 3 million to winner. Why in the world would Zayat not need those dollars? Plus he apparently loves being in spotlight which he will be racing a TC winner. Baffert isnt shy about running sound horses and love MP so at least we could see him in Haskell although my guess would be that would better suite Dortmund
You are exactly right. I highly doubt there was a clause in the contract stating that Zayat must retire the horse after the Belmont. If the horse comes out of the race in good shape, he will definitely continue to run this year.
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  #7  
Old 06-02-2015, 03:47 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin View Post
You are exactly right. I highly doubt there was a clause in the contract stating that Zayat must retire the horse after the Belmont. If the horse comes out of the race in good shape, he will definitely continue to run this year.
Not to mention Zayat still owns a % of PoTN could hurt to further his rep as stallion of TC winner and BCC.
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  #8  
Old 06-03-2015, 08:59 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
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Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
You are being silly. Assuming he does win Zayat already sold the rights so whats the risk if he loses? and there are bonus's if he wins perhaps Travers/Haskell and certainly BCC. Not too mention that that purse for BCC is 3 million to winner. Why in the world would Zayat not need those dollars? Plus he apparently loves being in spotlight which he will be racing a TC winner. Baffert isnt shy about running sound horses and love MP so at least we could see him in Haskell although my guess would be that would better suite Dortmund
Dubai World Cup?
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  #9  
Old 06-03-2015, 11:20 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Dubai World Cup?
Ugh
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  #10  
Old 06-04-2015, 12:45 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Originally Posted by Kitan View Post
Dubai World Cup?
Look anything is possible but please consider Zayat will not control the colts whereabouts after 12/31/15. ITS HIGHLY unlikely he will be racing as a 4 year old and I would think he will shuttle to Australia at least until AP's 2 year olds start racing. Maybe they will keep him in Ky exclusively? I cant say just guessing. If he wins TC Travers or Haskel and BCC. He has to stand for at least 75k a mare more likely 100 right?
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  #11  
Old 06-02-2015, 03:56 PM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
I think that's a reasonable assumption. What are you thinking, that he'll be retired regardless? Good chance of that, too.

I'd give an immediate 3-1 to anyone thinking he'd start in the BCC after winning the Belmont.
How much exposure are you willing to take on that????
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  #12  
Old 06-03-2015, 12:22 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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hmmm, if BTWind and Rupert are both suggesting I'm wrong, I have to reconsider. And I hadn't seen that there were more incentives beyond the Belmont, as freddymo pointed out.

But I'd still risk 600, to answer IC. PM if interested.

I think people generally underestimate all the things that can go wrong even when an owner wants to make it to a given race. If AP wins the TC, a bad sneeze would send him into retirement.
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #13  
Old 06-03-2015, 06:43 AM
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bare it all bare it all is offline
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Well this is awesome. Can't wait to see the "Monster Girls"...

http://espn.go.com/new-york/story/_/...-deals-history
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  #14  
Old 06-03-2015, 08:01 AM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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I'm starting to want this horse to lose now.
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  #15  
Old 06-03-2015, 11:31 AM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
I'm starting to want this horse to lose now.
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"We have a horse that's a unique talent that is going for the Triple Crown, and we're pleased to be associated with a beverage brand like Monster," said American Pharoah owner Ahmed Zayat, whose riches came from selling his own beverage company to Heineken in 2002. "We hope the drink gives our horse that extra kick."
Raid the barn!
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  #16  
Old 06-03-2015, 12:16 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
I'm starting to want this horse to lose now.
Ditto.
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  #17  
Old 06-02-2015, 04:56 PM
robfla robfla is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
I think that's a reasonable assumption. What are you thinking, that he'll be retired regardless? Good chance of that, too.

I'd give an immediate 3-1 to anyone thinking he'd start in the BCC after winning the Belmont.
No, I think they will run him ( if healthy ) until at least the end of the year and the BCC - regardless of the Belmont results
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