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  #1  
Old 05-18-2015, 08:44 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Originally Posted by RolloTomasi View Post
I don't know Freddy. I think most of the American Pharaoh fans that are not currently developing skunk spots want want to see him go straight to the front and never look back. This charge is being led by none other than Steve Haskin, who in his most recent "piece" declares American Pharaoh as the only truly deserved contender for the Triple Crown since Spectacular Bid (think about the horses that comment dismisses).

Now you're telling us that he should simply sit off of Materiality and wait for that one to tire. Interesting for sure. But I guess it goes back to AP having this mythical "off day" in the Kentucky Derby, you know, the only time in his career when he sat just of a talented frontrunner (Dortmund). Was it mere coincidence that it was also the only time American Pharaoh didn't glide away from the competition through the stretch?

Now maybe Materiality is no Dortmund (though the speed figures might say otherwise), but certainly the extra 1/4 mile could make up the difference.
Did Haskin really say that?

If so, that's disgraceful even for him.
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Old 05-18-2015, 08:56 PM
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RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
Did Haskin really say that?

If so, that's disgraceful even for him.
The reasoning was that all but one of the Triple Crown winners since the 1930s (6 out of 7) were previously crowned as 2yo champions.
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  #3  
Old 05-18-2015, 09:11 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Originally Posted by RolloTomasi View Post
The reasoning was that all but one of the Triple Crown winners since the 1930s (6 out of 7) were previously crowned as 2yo champions.
That makes absolutely no sense whatsoever.....but you knew that.
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Old 05-19-2015, 10:41 AM
LooseOnTheLead LooseOnTheLead is offline
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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
That makes absolutely no sense whatsoever.....but you knew that.
I look at this from a different angle.

Of course a horse doesn't need to be the 2yo champ to win the TC as their have been a number or near misses. However, when a 2yo champ makes it to the Belmont with a shot, they have all proved to be exceptional horses. Those exceptional 2yo champs have a record of 6 wins and 1 loss...that loss being Spectacular Bid.

The other 27 horses that went to Belmont with a shot at the TC that weren't 2yo champs has produced 5 winners, with a number of near misses.

The fact there have only been 7 was surprising to me.

Last edited by LooseOnTheLead : 05-19-2015 at 01:57 PM.
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  #5  
Old 05-18-2015, 09:22 PM
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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
Did Haskin really say that?

If so, that's disgraceful even for him.
Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi View Post
The reasoning was that all but one of the Triple Crown winners since the 1930s (6 out of 7) were previously crowned as 2yo champions.
Haskin wrote that AP was the first since Spectacular Bid to "fit the profile" of previous TC winners. But I don't think Haskin said AP was the only deserving contender since Spectacular Bid. Here's what he wrote at BloodHorse:

"And the reality is this: American Pharoah is the first Derby and Preakness winner since Spectacular Bid to fit the profile of a Triple Crown winner. The naming of champions didn’t begin until the late 1930s, and since then, six of the seven Triple Crown winners – Affirmed, Seattle Slew, Secretariat, Citation, Count Fleet, and Whirlaway all were 2-year-old champions (either in the Daily Racing Form or Turf and Sport Digest polls), as, of course, was American Pharoah, who is the first juvenile champion since Spectacular Bid 36 years ago to attempt a Triple Crown sweep.

In addition, Triple Crown winners Affirmed, Seattle Slew, Secretariat, Citation, Count Fleet, War Admiral, and Gallant Fox all won the Belmont Stakes wire to wire. Even the late-running Whirlaway was sent to the lead early in the race. As everyone is well aware, American Pharoah certainly fits that profile as well."


http://cs.bloodhorse.com/blogs/horse...s-the-day.aspx

--Dunbar
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  #6  
Old 05-18-2015, 09:27 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
Haskin wrote that AP was the first since Spectacular Bid to "fit the profile" of previous TC winners. But I don't think Haskin said AP was the only deserving contender since Spectacular Bid. Here's what he wrote at BloodHorse:

"And the reality is this: American Pharoah is the first Derby and Preakness winner since Spectacular Bid to fit the profile of a Triple Crown winner. The naming of champions didn’t begin until the late 1930s, and since then, six of the seven Triple Crown winners – Affirmed, Seattle Slew, Secretariat, Citation, Count Fleet, and Whirlaway all were 2-year-old champions (either in the Daily Racing Form or Turf and Sport Digest polls), as, of course, was American Pharoah, who is the first juvenile champion since Spectacular Bid 36 years ago to attempt a Triple Crown sweep.

In addition, Triple Crown winners Affirmed, Seattle Slew, Secretariat, Citation, Count Fleet, War Admiral, and Gallant Fox all won the Belmont Stakes wire to wire. Even the late-running Whirlaway was sent to the lead early in the race. As everyone is well aware, American Pharoah certainly fits that profile as well."


http://cs.bloodhorse.com/blogs/horse...s-the-day.aspx

--Dunbar


Who knew Triple Crown winners had a profile. Did Smarty Jones get caught by Birdstone because he suddenly realized at the eighth pole that he wasn't 2YO champion?
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Old 05-18-2015, 09:40 PM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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Two things.

Haskin is over the top and reaching, but I see no reason to get bent out of shape. It's just an opinion.

Rollo suddenly seems to have both reading comprehension difficulties and really odd selective memory problems.
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Old 05-18-2015, 09:54 PM
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RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
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Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
Two things.

Haskin is over the top and reaching, but I see no reason to get bent out of shape. It's just an opinion.
And yet you are quite sensitive to over the top and reaching opinions about American Pharaoh.

Quote:
Rollo suddenly seems to have both reading comprehension difficulties and really odd selective memory problems.
I blame the public school system.
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  #9  
Old 05-18-2015, 10:44 PM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi View Post
And yet you are quite sensitive to over the top and reaching opinions about American Pharaoh.


I blame the public school system.
wrong again, on both counts.

You previously were very sharp, so unless you recently enrolled, that's not likely it.

My best guess would be a strong bias. Say, against the horse, connections, etc.

Second guess would be traumas, be it emotional or some sort of head trauma.

Third would be you are an imposter, not the real Rollo. Maybe you've channelled the old pg1985, smooth operator, or even Somerset.
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  #10  
Old 05-18-2015, 09:49 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
Who knew Triple Crown winners had a profile. Did Smarty Jones get caught by Birdstone because he suddenly realized at the eighth pole that he wasn't 2YO champion?


I think it is a dilemma. The tc is a hard thing to pull off....but as ive asked here in the past, is it like flipping a coin? That is to say, just because we have seen heads flipped every year since affirmed, the odds on flipping tails on the next toss is still 50 50...
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  #11  
Old 05-18-2015, 09:52 PM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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Originally Posted by Danzig View Post


I think it is a dilemma. The tc is a hard thing to pull off....but as ive asked here in the past, is it like flipping a coin? That is to say, just because we have seen heads flipped every year since affirmed, the odds on flipping tails on the next toss is still 50 50...
actually, coin flips, they aren't quite 50/50.
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  #12  
Old 05-18-2015, 09:59 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
actually, coin flips, they aren't quite 50/50.
Even a coin flip can generate controversy on here? Im going to bed.

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  #13  
Old 05-19-2015, 08:15 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
Who knew Triple Crown winners had a profile. Did Smarty Jones get caught by Birdstone because he suddenly realized at the eighth pole that he wasn't 2YO champion?
Right, and I'm pretty sure Real Quiet was thinking to himself, "If only I'd been 2-yr-old Champion", while they were looking at the photo.

I agree it's nonsense. Similar to many of the Derby "angles" that are coughed up each year. I only quoted it to show there was nothing in it about "deserving" to be a TC winner that I could find.

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  #14  
Old 05-19-2015, 05:14 PM
outofthebox outofthebox is offline
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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
Who knew Triple Crown winners had a profile. Did Smarty Jones get caught by Birdstone because he suddenly realized at the eighth pole that he wasn't 2YO champion?
I thought he got caught because he realized he was by Elusive Quality out of a Smile mare..
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