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  #1  
Old 04-15-2015, 03:02 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
AP still looks like he is sitting on a big one and is a rightful favorite. Dortmund also is well deserving. I'm looking forward to seeing post positions here. There seems to be plenty of speed and International Star is very intriguing to me in this race.
With a dream trip - I like Danzig Moon a little now (though who really knows in a 20 horse field, pre-draw) but after I dismissed everything out of the Bluegrass, I re-watched it a few times, and Danzig Moon was absolutely inhaling ground in the stretch. He's going to be on my ticket.
I don't know why Firing Line not in the discussion, having only been beaten a head twice by Dortmund. Dortmund just has the look of a big, unwieldly speedball (who doesn't seem to factor as the speed of the speed) that can find a lot of trouble if he draws inside of the other speed. He appears to me as horse that will not take a heavy bump well and recover quickly.

At this point I'm not thrilled with the Materiality or Upstart's prospects, and have no clue what to do with Mubtaahij.

My main keys (subject to change) are AP, Firing Line, International Star, Danzig Moon, and Frosted.
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  #2  
Old 04-15-2015, 03:05 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
Not that I think he can win (though who really knows in a 20 horse field, pre-draw) but after I dismissed everything out of the Bluegrass, I re-watched it a few times, and Danzig Moon was inhaling ground in the stretch. He's going to be on my ticket.
I don't know why Firing Line not in the discussion, having only been beaten a head twice by Dortmund. Dortmund just has the look of a big, unwieldly speedball (who doesn't seem to factor as the speed of the speed) that can find a lot of trouble if he draws inside of the other speed. He appears to me as horse that will not take a heavy bump well and recover quickly.

At this point I'm not thrilled with the Materiality or Upstart's prospects, and have no clue what to do with Mubtaahij.

My main keys (subject to change) are AP, Firing Line, International Star, Danzig Moon, and Frosted.
Dortmund has rated and won 2x. Once at Churchill. I think he is the horse to beat. I think anyone but him, AP, Upstart and Frosted is a serious upset.
I don't get Danzig Moon at all. He was making up ground on the most overated horse in this crop. He will be a big price though and probably has the proper running style to get a piece.
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  #3  
Old 04-15-2015, 03:15 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
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Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
Dortmund has rated and won 2x. Once at Churchill. I think he is the horse to beat. I think anyone but him, AP, Upstart and Frosted is a serious upset.
I don't get Danzig Moon at all. He was making up ground on the most overated horse in this crop. He will be a big price though and probably has the proper running style to get a piece.
He wasn't *rated* so much as he simply wasn't faster than Firing Line - which could be the kiss of death for a horse like this IF he draws down inside of the real speed. Not saying he isn't a top prospect, just not for me in a race like this without knowing where he's breaking from.
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Old 04-15-2015, 03:21 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
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Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
He wasn't *rated* so much as he simply wasn't faster than Firing Line - which could be the kiss of death for a horse like this IF he draws down inside of the real speed. Not saying he isn't a top prospect, just not for me in a race like this without knowing where he's breaking from.
I guess. He rated at Churchill though.
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  #5  
Old 04-15-2015, 03:42 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
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Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
I guess. He rated at Churchill though.
If you can call being a length and a half off a 46 flat half mile -being rated - then I guess.

I think he is a speed horse that isn't as fast as the other speed, but also clearly doesn't need the lead early. Again, not slamming the horse -he is magnificent.

Just that his size + his running style in a 20 horse field with faster horses around him is a far from ideal circumstance to be taking short money on him, is all.
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  #6  
Old 05-03-2015, 01:05 AM
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richard burch richard burch is offline
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i would like to see a rematch....

but it feels so good. I just like being right. It really feels good to pick the right horse.
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  #7  
Old 05-03-2015, 01:09 AM
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declansharbor declansharbor is offline
Hialeah Park
 
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Originally Posted by richard burch View Post
i would like to see a rematch....

but it feels so good. I just like being right. It really feels good to pick the right horse.
Wait....I just read this elsewhere. Twice, at that. I think. Make it stop. Thx.
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  #8  
Old 05-03-2015, 03:13 AM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by richard burch View Post
i would like to see a rematch....

but it feels so good. I just like being right. It really feels good to pick the right horse.

4x now I read this. For the 5-2 chalk??
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