8/27: Saratoga (Day 25)

[Kasept]

End of Week 4 at the Spa saw solid results and positive influence on the bankroll after finally getting some quality exotics. Enter the final third of the meet up +$280. P4's, long a staple of my selection diet, have been a total washout all meet, but it may only take one or two the last 12 race days to offset the $800-$900 that has gone into them thus far...

Stakes Weekend starts in earnest Thursday with an outrageously good edition of the Ballston Spa, and continues Friday with the Personal Ensign. Travers Day Saturday (4 graded events) and the Ballerina Sunday!

Wednesday card a bit mundane, and chalk looks to reign throughout..


SARATOGA


Selections Key:

1. "Best value win candidate"
2. "Most likely winner"
A. "Possible winner/Exotics include"
B. "Exotics include"


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

1. #3 Gone Prospecting 8-1: Many plus angles via slick Carlos Martin.. 8th
2. #7 Eddie C. 5-2: Weaver on duck, but 2nd 5X; Figures tough if ready.. 2nd
A. #5 Half a Note 7-2 WON
B. #6 Highly Spoken 3-1 3rd

WAGERING SUGGESTION: Key the 3 1st/2nd in exactas &/or tris with 2-5-6-7.. $8 in exactas, $24 for tris.. Ooof.. C. Martin runner doesn't lift a hoof here.. Starts day with a thud with three uses running 1-2-3...


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P3, P4)

NOTE: Leaving out #4 Smokin' Stephanie in race selections, but may want to include as protection in your multi-race wagers. Pletcher figures to be pulling out stops for client (Bobby Flay) he stole from Jimmy Toner, and he predictably 'moved up' the useless Sophie's Salad up Opening Week..

1. #6 Tazarine 15-1: Overlaid ML on Lukas filly that competes with 2nd out improvement.. 2nd
2. #5 Syriana's Song 8-5: Tough to go against off strong bow here 8/2.. WON
A. #2 Shop Glack 6-1 4th
B. #1 Armonk 4-1 3rd

$1 TRI $104.50 Best hit of the day..


3rd: OC/C, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

NOTE: Expect #7 Enter Stage Left to scratch from this which will negate the Superfecta..

1. #5 Wingspan 8-5: Logical as threat to strong ML choice; Bested Lahudood last.. 3rd
2. #6 SCR
A. #3 Tejida 12-1 WON
B. #1 Chicago's Girl 30-1 6th


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, P6)

1. #1 Madam Commander 5-2: Stretchout a plus in 2nd start; stumbled at break in debut.. 2nd
2. #2 Staid 2-1: Heiligbrodt bay just missed Week One; added ground helps.. 4th
A. #6 Gullible Gal 5-1 5th
B. #5 SCR


5th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, GS)

1. #2 (POE) Nehantic Cat 7-2: Tagg kitty 2nd off break; Garcia needs to trip out.. 3rd
2. #1e Contessa entry 9-2: 1a Higher Incentive had too much to do late in last; Ramon sticks.. 5th/7th
A. #7 Stag Dancer 6-1 8th
B. #8 Fairytale Story 3-1 4th


<$50 P4 Play: No play as Argentina scratches...

2: 1-2-4-5-6
3: 6-SCR
4: 1-2
5: 1e-2e-4-7-8

5x0x2x5 = $0


6th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, DD)

NOTE: Tabbing the 3rd as a Superfecta race, which will likely be lost on a scratch, and not this race was ridiculous..

1. #7 Stormy Miracle 6-1: Trombo imports from DEL string; 31% W's in MDN CLM bows.. 5th
2. #1e Vinery Stables entry 9-5: #1 POE 3rd lifetime, a strong Kenneally move.. WON/3rd
A. #3 Vesper 4-1 8th
B. #2 Centerport Baby 30-1 2nd

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS INCLUDE: #8 SCR

$1 EX $55.50 Hoped this would have paid a bit better with Centerport Baby coming through 2nd at 37-1..


7th: The Capades, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, Super)

1. #8 Stormy Kiss 12-1: Tagg mare drilling great; cuts back; offers great value.. 2nd
2. #6 SMART AND FANCY 3-1: Simply faster than these; Can regress and win.. 3rd
A. #1 Brazilian 12-1 4th
B. #9 Lemon Drop Gal 7-2 6th


8th: The Albany, 3yo-NYB, 9f (DD)

1. #4 Doctor Freud 6-1: $140k Dogwood buy offers Pletcher shot at rare win.. 5th
2. #5 Chief's Lake 8-5: Gelding was gifted the NY Derby but has Big Apple Triple chance.. 3rd
A. #2 Dr. V's Magic 4-1 2nd
B. #3 Stunt Man 7-2 WON

$1 TRI $35.75


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (Super)

1. #6 La Gioia Ditutti 8-1: Note move to Ramon; race three back can win this.. 6th
2. #4 One in a Romp 5-2: Jerkens' bay ITM 5 of 8; can graduate v. these.. WON
A. #5 The Ag 2-1 5th
B. #7 Dance for Fashion 5-1 4th

LONGSHOT/SUPER INCLUDE: #2 My Girl Celina 15-1 9th


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-7-8
7: 6
8: 2-4-5
9: 2-4-5-6

4x1x3x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve