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#1
10-05-2012, 07:08 AM
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10/5: Keeneland (5th-10th)
KEENELAND
POST-SCRATCHES Here's the link to Jeremy Plonk's KEE Fall Meet Statistical Preview which offers several interesting clues about winners at the stand. 5th: ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD) Kenneally has clear horse to beat in MGSP (multiple graded stakes placed) Heavenly Landing getting a drop of class relief today. Next three all viable at square numbers with Amoss' Snuggs potentially on a loose lead.. Most Likely: #6 Heavenly Landing 9-5 WON ($3.60) Best Value: #7 Snuggs and Kisses 5-1 6th Next Best: #3 Millenia 8-1 3rd Exotics Use: #5 My Perfect Ten 8-1 4th 6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD) Tough start to the P5. Oliver's Liberated a half to plus synth dasher Seruni while Kenneally firster Miss Brown Sugar kin to neat Ha Ha Tonka. Worthwhilepursuit from TAP is half to Disposablepleasure. Ward cuts back with Emotional Kitten but she hasn't been drilled for speed coming out of SAR and all of her sibs did better routing. Defensive posture only.. Best Value: #5 Liberated 6-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Worthwhilepursuit 3-1 10th Exotics Use: #11 Miss Brown Sugar 10-1 6th Super Add: #1 Ebbycalvin Laloosh 8-1 12th 7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD) Loved Exothermic in the winter but he's awfully tough to take here at a short number off the long break and with no end to the seemingly live longshots lined up.. Most Likely: #4 Tiz Sardonic Joe 8-1 7th Best Value: #6 Share Out 15-1 9th Next Best: #1 Slow Pace 7-2 10th Exotics Use: #8 Where's the Baby 10-1 5th 8th: 160th Phoenix (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Plenty of pace here.. Best Value: #8 Lonesome Street 5-1 5th Next Best: #6 Sum of the Parts 4-1 WON ($11.80) Exotics Use: #1 Aikenite 4-1 4th Super Add: #10 Laurie's Rocket 8-1 3rd 9th: 61st Alcibiades (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD) Entertaining edition of this with capacity crowd of missies appearing ready to be mixed and matched any way you want. Stall's Magical Moon (5-1) bred to route yet demolished 5.5f-T Spa MSW. Casse's Spring in the Air a generous 12-1 out of late-running Natalma placement to stablemate Spring Venture who stays home in TO for Saturday's Mazarine. After that pair, anyone you like can be justified. Not sure what to do with Calder flash Rose to Gold. Note that the last three winners of this exited races at DMR (Deb) and WO (Deb, Natalma).. Best Value: #9 Spring in the Air 12-1 WON ($10.60) Next Best: #13 Magical Moon 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Gold Edge 12-1 7th Super Add: #14 Dancinginthecircle 20-1 9th 10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super Hi-5) Brutal end to the sequences.. Most Likely: #6 K to the Kroft 5-1 8th Best Value: #4 Golden B.J. 20-1 10th Next Best: #5 Rock Hard Cat 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #10 I'm Already Sexy 12-1 WON ($26.20) <$75 P5 Play: 6: 2-5-11 7: 4-6 8: 1-6-8 9: 9-13 10: 4-5-6-10 3x2x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-4-6-8 8: 1-6-8 9: 7-9-13 10: 4-5-6-10 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 10-05-2012 at 05:13 PM. 
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#4
10-05-2012, 09:58 AM
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Quote:
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#7
10-05-2012, 10:11 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#8
10-05-2012, 02:59 PM
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Wow. Big balloons in the 6th. Used the wrong firsters. Always happy when my man Davey Carroll wins though.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
10-05-2012, 04:06 PM
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As expected, wild prices abound in the Alcibiades.. Hard not to play with Catalano (#8 La Song) at crazy 30-1... Spring in the Air getting hammered (9-2). #12 Speedinthruthecity OK at 10-1...
Thoughts? Some mammouth Doubles to consider too.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#10
10-05-2012, 05:01 PM
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$94,426 P5 C/O
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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