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Old 11-12-2010, 06:19 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
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Gonna watch the board in the first - realize we're 3 hours out, but the firster is taking a ton early - if that holds I'm gonna include. I like your 4 a lot in there Matt. Hope the price holds.
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Old 11-12-2010, 08:11 PM
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MaTH716 MaTH716 is offline
Flemington
 
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Location: Jersey
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Late 4
RACE 5 5 FUR 32K MAIDEN CLM (F)
#1 PORTLAND(2nd)-Draws the rail for her third career start. She came from off the pace to run second last out against a repeat winner and this race looks like it has some pace in it. Also picks up Rosario in the irons.
#10 REAL ROCKPORT(3rd)-She looks like the speed of the speed here, draws a tough post but the cutback to 5 panels could suit here. Shows a good work on the 6th and could be an enticing price.
#4 QUE PRONTO(1st)-Gets the shades and a sight drop for her second career start. Shows a couple of solid drills coming into this race.

RACE 6 6F 32K cond. CLAIMER (TURF)
#4 SASSOU(2nd)-Hard working 5 year old has hit the board in 11/15 career starts (4 wins). He looks like he's a threat to go gate to wire. Taking a slight drop after losing to horses who have won their next race in his last 3 starts.
#5 DAPPER GENE(1st)-Four year old is making his second start for Ted West who has very solid numbers (with limited numbers) with turf sprinters and synthetic to grass angle. Also picks up Bejerano in the saddle.

RACE 7 1MILE 1/16TH restriced STAKES (F)
This is an interesting race where cases could be made for almost every horse. All button is definitely a possibility.
#4 ELLAFITZ-Looks like the speed of the very short field. Depending if the 5 goes with her, she could be out there all by herself. Shows the typical bullet work for Baffert coming into this race.
#1 IT TIZ(2nd)-She's been facing some pretty good horses and finally gets some class relief in this race. The price will probably be unattractive, be she must be respected.
#3 POINT OF REFERENCE(3rd)-Coming down from northern California for this race. She has hit the board in 14/18 races with 5 wins. P Val picks up the mount for this versitille 4 year old.
#2 WASINGTON BRIDGE(1st)-Not sure if I'm going to use her as of yet. This is a situation where I am more weary of the connections (Hollendorfer/Bejerano) then of the horse. Hollendorfer's horses are usually well spotted, I am still on the fence reguarding her.

RACE 8 6F 25K MAIDEN CLAIMER
#11 BREAKMARK-This closer could be coming late in the finale which looks like it has some speed in it. He ran 2nd two back at 27-1 against statebred maiden special weights. Didn't disgrace himself last out when strecthed out to a mile and a sixteenth. Cutting back to 6 panels and could be a nice price.
#2 FIVE A DAY(2nd)-Second off a ten month layoff for the only four year old in the field. He ran 2nd at 2-1 in his return showing some early foot. Any progression off his last race makes him a threat. Picks up Rosario, but unfortunately the price will be very unflattering.
#9 CYNICAL WAGER(1st)-Very similar situation as the 2. Second off the layoff and will be trying to get to the lead. Price should be better for this Kruljac runnner. Kruljac is winning at a 24% with horses making their second start off a layoff.
#10 JOHNNIE GOLD-Dropping to his lowest level in career start number three. Has taken and burned some money in his first two starts, but does show a solid pattern of works coming into this race. Guessing that he will be coming late if he comes at all and most likely at a nice price.

Late .50 pick 4
1,4,10
4,5
1,3,4
2,9,10,11
$36
Good Luck
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Last edited by MaTH716 : 11-13-2010 at 12:41 AM.
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