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  #1  
Old 08-31-2008, 11:05 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
Thanks for the link.

But help me out please. How are those two things indicative of how people are gonna vote? I guess Im not seeing the relevance here.
If I might.

I think he is assuming the betting public that would take on this sort of political wager will be a good indicator of how people are going to vote. I dont find this unreasonable.

I would like to learn about the exchange market theory though...
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  #2  
Old 08-31-2008, 11:09 PM
GPK GPK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgardn
If I might.

I think he is assuming the betting public that would take on this sort of political wager will be a good indicator of how people are going to vote. I dont find this unreasonable.

I would like to learn about the exchange market theory though...

But what % of that money is being wagered by Americans? I would think there has to be a huge margin of error based on the amount of money coming in from overseas.
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  #3  
Old 08-31-2008, 11:20 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
But what % of that money is being wagered by Americans? I would think there has to be a huge margin of error based on the amount of money coming in from overseas.
I would agree.
But they may be betting based on polls they feel are reliable at this point in the race.
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  #4  
Old 09-01-2008, 02:07 AM
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Mortimer Mortimer is offline
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The snot thickens.
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  #5  
Old 09-01-2008, 02:13 AM
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I thought for sure this time we would see no Clinton nor Bush on either ticket.


Perhaps the worst job of selecting a running mate since Stella Walsh made the relay team.


I may not even bother this time around.
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  #6  
Old 09-01-2008, 02:16 AM
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Could it be possible the Reps. don't want to win??



Have stranger things happened?

How should we know?
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  #7  
Old 09-01-2008, 07:35 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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OMG, we're now referring to the odds on betting exchanges as having some meaning? novices.
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  #8  
Old 09-01-2008, 10:25 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698



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  #9  
Old 08-31-2008, 11:33 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgardn
I would like to learn about the exchange market theory though...
http://www.pollingreport.com/lvw_bet.htm
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  #10  
Old 09-01-2008, 12:09 AM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Very interesting.
And this is what I was basically thinking.
Imo they are giving way too much credit to those people have lots of money actually
understanding what they are doing with it. They are gambling like any other market,
only this type of gambling is very volatile and might be ridden with thrill seekers.

I thought you were typing about the exchange rate of the dollar or something
on the other topic.
My bad.
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