Wise Dan

[cmorioles]

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord

I'm far from an authority on the Beyer process for his figs at Keeneland as well.

Obviously, horses who made the lead ran impossibly well all day from a Beyer figure standpoint and a 117 for Wise Dan isn't any more eye-popping than the Beyer figure every pacesetter on that card ran relative to prior ability.

However...looking at the last two routes this day VS Blue Grass Stakes day... what I'm seeing is not adding up.



A day like that I'm just hunting for a few speeds to play against -- and a few closers who also didn't get pace and have a right to improve next time. But man, 117 in a synthetic route will really stand the test of time if he sticks by it.

I did forget about how extreme the adjustment to the charts Beyer made could be. The 117 would have been about a 112 on the old scale. Using that, the variants of the 8th and 9th would have been only two points apart at most. There was no real split. I still don't agree with the 117, but not by as much as I thought initially. The biggest reason is I don't agree is the way he handled the synthetic adjustment.

I'm going with a 109 and moving on.