Quote:
Originally Posted by joeydb
While it's true that the minority party often gains seats in the midterm elections when the president and congress are controlled by the majority party, the degree to which this change is likely to occur will surpass any precedent.
I was commenting more on the overruling of public sentiment on passing the healthcare debacle which the majority of Americans oppose, and now applauding the words of a foreign president against our country and one of our states, when the overwhelming majority of Americans support that law.
The Democrats are out of touch, and that's what will burn them in November, over and above the trend which you have correctly pointed out.
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i just wish the people in charge of planning the republican fall campaign shared your arrogance. they just placed their entire focus on a single house seat in a district that voted for mccain in 2008. and lost it.
if there was a tsunami coming, wouldn't we have found out about it last tuesday?
the wet dream scenario you have for november doesn't appear to have any basis in reality. republicans will pick up seats. that's true. they've had 2 disastrous election cycles so there are more democratic incumbents. and incumbents will pay the price for a bad economy.
healthcare votes will cost 2-3 freshmen dems their seats. and as much as immigration energizes the republican base, it does the same for hispanics.
how big republican gains will be has a lot more to do with what happens between now and november than what happened in 2009.