11/28: Churchill (Clark/P4); Hollywood (C/O P6)

[Kasept]

Hope you had a great Thanksgiving, despite my getting the Holiday Weekend off to a bad start by botching the transcribed numbers in the Aqueduct P4 play. Cost us all $470 which I'll endeavor to make up along the way of this great series of racedays... Clark Handicap (CD) and Miesque (HOL) both live on ATR today, and an $80k carryover at Inglewood adding to the myriad of opportunities on the day.


CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


9th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

You can cover Da'Tara in the multis, but I'm playing against within the race with some excellent overlays likely..

Most Likely: #1 Bullsbay 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Allsarott 20-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Summer Book 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Let It Rock 15-1 2nd


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 DEZBA 15-1 6th
Most Likely: #12 La Mousse 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 My Little Dragon 6-1 12th
Exotics Use: #5 Flaming Slew 8-1 WON


11th: 135th Clark H. (Gr. II), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 COMMENTATOR 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Einstein 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Anak Nakal 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Magna Graduate 4-1 4th


12th: CLM, 3+, 5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Chihulykee 5-2 DNF
Best Value: #10 Canteen 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Atticus Kristy 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #13 Dominic's Desire 10-1 (In from AE list) DNF
Hi 5 Play: #5 Art and Soul 12-1 4th


<$96 P4 Play:

9: 1-3-4-6-7-8
10: 1-5-6-12
11: 4
12: 3-7-10-13

6x4x1x4 = $96



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Superfecta 5-2 WON
Next Best: #9 Michael's Notes 4-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Lardog 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Kindacatchy 20-1 8th


6th: 17th Miesque (Gr. III), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Habaya 5-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Internallyflawless 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Century Park 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Emmy Darling 7-2 4th


7th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Busby 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Yukon Bull 9-2 WON
Best Value: #9 Pemba at U.T.K. 30-1
Exotics Use: #12 Suspect 15-1


8th: 31st Citation (Gr. I), 3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Whatsthescript 5-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Rebellion 6-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Formal Decree 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Lord Admiral 12-1 8th


9th: OC/N1X, Cal-3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Swift Demand 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Major Smoke 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Pack Your Bags 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 My Summer Slew 8-1 3rd


10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Razor Cut 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #9 President Elect 5-2 7th
Next Best: #3 Paper Gain 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Midnight Corredor 5-1 5th
Hi 5 Play: #8 Road to the Throne 30-1 10th


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 3-4-9
6: 2-8
7: 4-8
8: 6-9
9: 1
10: 6-9

3x2x2x2x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-8
8: 4-6-9-10
9: 1-6-8
10: 3-6-9

2x4x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve