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-   -   11/28: Churchill (Clark/P4); Hollywood (C/O P6) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=26459)

Kasept 11-28-2008 07:19 AM

11/28: Churchill (Clark/P4); Hollywood (C/O P6)
 
Hope you had a great Thanksgiving, despite my getting the Holiday Weekend off to a bad start by botching the transcribed numbers in the Aqueduct P4 play. Cost us all $470 which I'll endeavor to make up along the way of this great series of racedays... Clark Handicap (CD) and Miesque (HOL) both live on ATR today, and an $80k carryover at Inglewood adding to the myriad of opportunities on the day.


CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


9th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

You can cover Da'Tara in the multis, but I'm playing against within the race with some excellent overlays likely..

Most Likely: #1 Bullsbay 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Allsarott 20-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Summer Book 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Let It Rock 15-1 2nd


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 DEZBA 15-1 6th
Most Likely: #12 La Mousse 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 My Little Dragon 6-1 12th
Exotics Use: #5 Flaming Slew 8-1 WON


11th: 135th Clark H. (Gr. II), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 COMMENTATOR 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Einstein 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Anak Nakal 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Magna Graduate 4-1 4th


12th: CLM, 3+, 5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Chihulykee 5-2 DNF
Best Value: #10 Canteen 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Atticus Kristy 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #13 Dominic's Desire 10-1 (In from AE list) DNF
Hi 5 Play: #5 Art and Soul 12-1 4th


<$96 P4 Play:

9: 1-3-4-6-7-8
10: 1-5-6-12
11: 4
12: 3-7-10-13

6x4x1x4 = $96



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Superfecta 5-2 WON
Next Best: #9 Michael's Notes 4-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Lardog 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Kindacatchy 20-1 8th


6th: 17th Miesque (Gr. III), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Habaya 5-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Internallyflawless 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Century Park 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Emmy Darling 7-2 4th


7th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Busby 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Yukon Bull 9-2 WON
Best Value: #9 Pemba at U.T.K. 30-1
Exotics Use: #12 Suspect 15-1


8th: 31st Citation (Gr. I), 3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Whatsthescript 5-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Rebellion 6-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Formal Decree 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Lord Admiral 12-1 8th


9th: OC/N1X, Cal-3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Swift Demand 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Major Smoke 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Pack Your Bags 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 My Summer Slew 8-1 3rd


10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Razor Cut 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #9 President Elect 5-2 7th
Next Best: #3 Paper Gain 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Midnight Corredor 5-1 5th
Hi 5 Play: #8 Road to the Throne 30-1 10th


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 3-4-9
6: 2-8
7: 4-8
8: 6-9
9: 1
10: 6-9

3x2x2x2x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-8
8: 4-6-9-10
9: 1-6-8
10: 3-6-9

2x4x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 11-28-2008 01:43 PM

Note Hollywood also has $46,270 Super High 5 Carryover in nightcap...

#13 (AE) Dominic's Desire (10-1) drew into Churchill 12th and I'm adding to the P4...

Tony Mass 11-28-2008 02:36 PM

Playing some Churchill with pointman and pmac for the holiday, late pk4:

9- 1,3
10- 1,2,6,12
11- 4
12- 1,3,7,10

9- 1
10- 1,2,4,5,6,7,12
11- 4
12- 1,3,5,6,10,11,14

Looking for prices on second ticket, good luck to all today!

Tony Mass 11-28-2008 03:40 PM

No excuse for Commentator, none, got fractions his own way and could not get home.

Scav 11-28-2008 03:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tony Mass
No excuse for Commentator, none, got fractions his own way and could not get home.

Pretty surprising, that horse can go 24/48/112 in its sleep......

the_fat_man 11-28-2008 03:48 PM

Nice; the SLOW MOTION Delightful Kiss runs down the SPEED HANDICAPPER's DARLING, for the place.

And, a turf horse kicks his ass for the win.

hoovesupsideyourhead 11-28-2008 03:49 PM

like the 9 in the nightcap at churchill snowstalker 20-1 ml..wps

hoovesupsideyourhead 11-28-2008 03:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
like the 9 in the nightcap at churchill snowstalker 20-1 ml..wps

SCR..DAMMIT..OK then its art n soul pp 5

CharlieR 11-28-2008 04:49 PM

Thanks Steve
 
Just a little $ but again a win is a win

Looked at your picks for the 5th at Hollywood and also liked the 6. Put together an inexpensive .10 super

5:34:22 PM Race 5 HOLLYWOOD $0.10 Superfecta 4,9/ 4,6,9/ 2,3,5-9/ 2,3,5-9 $11.00 paid $22.80

Playing your Pick 4 trying to build a little $$ to play with on Saturday.

herkhorse 11-28-2008 06:17 PM

Making a small bet in the SH5

9/1-7/1-6-7/3-6-12/3-4-8-12


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