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Old 10-17-2008, 10:39 PM
Arcangues to Win Arcangues to Win is offline
Weanling
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Casino Drive will be less than 10-1 imo
undefeated horses are usually overbet relative to their actual chances
In times of economic uncertainty people look for stability and "sure things". Curlin has looked magnificent and hasn't done a thing wrong. Therefore I would expect him to be over bet and an underlay. Remember on BC day(s?) we have people who only know Curlin, Big Brown and Eight Bells- the horses that show up in the mainstream media. They usually tend to bet with favorites or conversely for long shots hoping for a price; leaving the legitimate overlays available. I don’t really think CD will go off above 10 or 12 to 1. I was just surprised at how quickly Steve Byk dismissed CD with his breeding and potential.
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