Colonial Turf Cup

Originally Posted by boldruler

Funny. I might be going to Colonial. I was told 100x to bet as much as I could on Barbaro in the derby because he couldn't lose and I didn't, the same guy is telling me this about Showing Up in this race. I just made a few dollars on something and figure what the hell. If he goes off at better than 2-1 I am going to take a shot. I was going to buy an interest in 2 mares this fall and now I am only going to buy 1 so I just saved around 20-30K, so we will see. Anything to justify a big bet. I usually only do it for the derby and superbowl but I am going to make an exception here.

I dont understand why the horse has to be 2-1 or better? If you feel the horse is going to win, then who cares if it goes off at 3/2 or so. Please let me know your logic because maybe I am not seeing something that you see.