9/4: Saratoga (Day 38; 5th-12th); Del Mar (7th-11th)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Prioress (G2), 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Have to wonder a bit if 6f is too sharp for Souper, but Santana aggressive last time and as good a sprint rider as there is these days.

Most Likely: #6 Souper Sensational 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Oxana 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Cilla 8-1 WON ($23.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Edie Meeny Miny Mo 9-2 5th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

In case you saw the name, but didn't look it up.. '02035' = Foxborough, MA..

Most Likely: #9 Ohtwoohthreefive 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Irish Sea 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Annapolis 2-1 WON ($4.70)
Exotics Use: #2 I'll Figure It Out 12-1 10th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Misbehaved 7-2 4th
Next Best: #10 Brigadier General 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Olympian 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Ten Gauge 5-1 5th


8th: Saranac (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Public Sector 7-5 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #4 Never Surprised 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Founder 4-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Like the King 6-1 3rd


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Golden Oldie 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1a Cara's Dreamer 3-1 WON ($9.30)
Exotics Use: #6 Just Ok Is Not Ok 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 English Breeze 5-2 6th


P5 Grid:

5: 6 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
6: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-10 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
8: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

This is a thoroughly insane assembly of still-developing talent with 8 of the 12 ticketed for stakes company in the near future. One of the best races of the meet..

Best Value: #6 Olympiad 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Hometown 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Ducale 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Tuggle 8-1 6th


11th: Flower Bowl (G1), F&M-4+, 11f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #1 La Signare 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 War Like Goddess 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #2 American Bridge 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 My Sister Nat 5-1 3rd


12th: Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f

Most Likely: #1 Forza Di Oro 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Happy Saver 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Max Player 5-2 WON ($9.60)
Super Add: #5 Night Ops 5-1 4th


P5 Grid:

8: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)
10: 6-10 (A), 1-3-9 (B), - (C)
11: 1-3 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
12: 1-4 (A), 2 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x2x3 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: $24 (6-10 in 9th) + $24 (2-4 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

9: 1-5 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)
10: 3-6-10 (A), 1-9 (B), 7-8-12 (C)
11: 1-3 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
12: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x2x3 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (6-10 in 9th) + $18 (7-8-12 in 10th) + $18 (2-4 in 11th)

$0.50 PICK FOUR (1/8/3,7/2) PAID $145.25


DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Rhythm and Grace 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Buy American 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Buzz of New York 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Sommer Daisy 6-1 WON ($18.60)


8th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Diva's Finale 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Test Drive 4-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Ascot Storm 12-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Charge Cash 5-2 3rd


9th: John C. Mabee (G2), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Maxim Rate 7-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Dogtag 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Bodhicitta 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Going to Vegas 4-1 WON ($5.80)


10th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #10 Corniche 9-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #2 War At Sea 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Apprehend 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Breakfast Ride 4-1 4th


11th: Del Mar Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Hudson Ridge 9-2 6th
Best Value: #10 Jimmy Blue Jeans 12-1 13th
Next Best: #14 Flashiest 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 No Foolery Here 8-1 10
Super/Hi-5: #2 Barraza 12-1 8th


P5 Grid:

7: 4-7-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-10 (A), - (B), 2-5-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x4x1x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 4x2x2x1x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup: $24 (2-5-14 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

8: 6-7 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-10-14 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x3 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 2x2x1x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup: $8 with 2-5 in 11th ($4 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve