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-   -   9/4: Saratoga (Day 38; 5th-12th); Del Mar (7th-11th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=70088)

Kasept 09-04-2021 05:14 AM

9/4: Saratoga (Day 38; 5th-12th); Del Mar (7th-11th)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Prioress (G2), 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Have to wonder a bit if 6f is too sharp for Souper, but Santana aggressive last time and as good a sprint rider as there is these days.

Most Likely: #6 Souper Sensational 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Oxana 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Cilla 8-1 WON ($23.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Edie Meeny Miny Mo 9-2 5th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

In case you saw the name, but didn't look it up.. '02035' = Foxborough, MA..

Most Likely: #9 Ohtwoohthreefive 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Irish Sea 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Annapolis 2-1 WON ($4.70)
Exotics Use: #2 I'll Figure It Out 12-1 10th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Misbehaved 7-2 4th
Next Best: #10 Brigadier General 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Olympian 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Ten Gauge 5-1 5th


8th: Saranac (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Public Sector 7-5 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #4 Never Surprised 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Founder 4-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Like the King 6-1 3rd


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Golden Oldie 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1a Cara's Dreamer 3-1 WON ($9.30)
Exotics Use: #6 Just Ok Is Not Ok 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 English Breeze 5-2 6th


P5 Grid:

5: 6 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
6: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-10 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
8: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

This is a thoroughly insane assembly of still-developing talent with 8 of the 12 ticketed for stakes company in the near future. One of the best races of the meet..

Best Value: #6 Olympiad 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Hometown 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Ducale 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Tuggle 8-1 6th


11th: Flower Bowl (G1), F&M-4+, 11f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #1 La Signare 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 War Like Goddess 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #2 American Bridge 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 My Sister Nat 5-1 3rd


12th: Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f

Most Likely: #1 Forza Di Oro 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Happy Saver 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Max Player 5-2 WON ($9.60)
Super Add: #5 Night Ops 5-1 4th


P5 Grid:

8: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)
10: 6-10 (A), 1-3-9 (B), - (C)
11: 1-3 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
12: 1-4 (A), 2 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x2x3 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: $24 (6-10 in 9th) + $24 (2-4 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

9: 1-5 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)
10: 3-6-10 (A), 1-9 (B), 7-8-12 (C)
11: 1-3 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
12: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x2x3 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (6-10 in 9th) + $18 (7-8-12 in 10th) + $18 (2-4 in 11th)

$0.50 PICK FOUR (1/8/3,7/2) PAID $145.25


DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Rhythm and Grace 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Buy American 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Buzz of New York 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Sommer Daisy 6-1 WON ($18.60)


8th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Diva's Finale 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Test Drive 4-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Ascot Storm 12-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Charge Cash 5-2 3rd


9th: John C. Mabee (G2), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Maxim Rate 7-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Dogtag 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Bodhicitta 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Going to Vegas 4-1 WON ($5.80)


10th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #10 Corniche 9-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #2 War At Sea 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Apprehend 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Breakfast Ride 4-1 4th


11th: Del Mar Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Hudson Ridge 9-2 6th
Best Value: #10 Jimmy Blue Jeans 12-1 13th
Next Best: #14 Flashiest 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 No Foolery Here 8-1 10
Super/Hi-5: #2 Barraza 12-1 8th


P5 Grid:

7: 4-7-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-10 (A), - (B), 2-5-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x4x1x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 4x2x2x1x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup: $24 (2-5-14 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

8: 6-7 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-10-14 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x3 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 2x2x1x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup: $8 with 2-5 in 11th ($4 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 09-04-2021 10:04 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

King Glorious 09-04-2021 04:50 PM

Considering how highly regarded the field was for the 10th and looking at the way Baby Yoda just put them away, it’s impossible not to be super exited about what the future could be for this one.


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