I need to listen to ATR more often

[Rupert Pupkin]

Originally Posted by CSC

Certain horses hit a threashold with weight, for instance for Zenyatta we know she can run well up to 129, for Rail Trip 129 is a question mark, one that hasn't been answered yet. Until they do it no one can be certain how they will handle it. Regardless some say for every length = 1 lbs, this isn't a concise science, there are some Trainer's that look at weight religiously, as Bobby Frankel once did, we know if he didn't like the weight assignments for a race he would have no qualms scratching a horse. I don't think it's an inconsequencial factor that should just be dismissed nor do I think it's an all determining factor. Every situation is unique, I do believe letting Rail Trip carry 118 in a grade 2 was like handing candy to a child, it couldn't have been any sweeter to Ellis I surmise.

I don't know a single person in the business that thinks one length= 1 pound. That is preposterous. It is possible that 5 pounds= 1 length. If 1 length equaled 1 pound, you could put one of those 7 pound apprentices on your horse and expect the horse to move up 7 lengths. That is rediculous.

I do agree with you that it's not an exact science and there are probably some horses that would have a tougher time carrying 129 pounds than other horses. In general, a bigger, stronger horse will be able to carry more weight than a smaller horse.