11/10: AQU/HOL Carryovers

[Kasept]

Pair of large carries into Saturday with Big A starting at $118,000 and Inglewood at $364,000.. And Churchill has a $53,000 bulge starting the sextet! New York sequence is particularly challenging with glut of state-bred affairs muddying the waters. Hollywood no picnic either, but a pair of shorter field tests at least help narrow the possibilities.. Weather a non-factor at major circuits today.. My views below (Calder/Churchill seperate thread.


AQUEDUCT


4th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, Super)

Came OFF THE TURF...

Best Value: #5 Electric Mayhem 20-1 12th
Most Likely: #8 SCR
Exotics Use: #3 SCR
Super/Other: #7 Sir Cryptomite 4-1 7th


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, GS)

Best Value: #7 Caller Appeal 12-1 9th
Most Likely: #5 Makin Me Famous 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Al's Lark 4-1 2nd
Super/Other: #9 Woodmere 6-1 8th


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, DD)

Best Value: #13 SCR
Most Likely: #1 (POE) The Truffle Man 7-2 WON
Exotics Use: #10 Ring Bernadette 6-1 5th
Super/Other: #11 Wise Mountain 9-2 12th


7th: The Lady Tak, 3yo-F, 6f (P3)

Best Value: #7 Sea the Joy 12-1 5th
Most Likely: #9 YOUR FLAME IN ME 2-1 WON
Exotics Use: #6 Dixie Dawn 4-1 7th
Super/Other: #3 SCR


8th: 48th Red Smith H. (Gr. II), 3+, 11f-T (DD, Super)

A wildly competitive bunch with no standouts and few throwouts..

Best Value: #6 Operation Red Dawn 6-1
Most Likely: #5 Golden Strategy 10-1
Exotics Use: #3 Bee Charmer 5-1
Super/Other: #7 Precious Passion 10-1


9th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #5 Baxter 15-1
Most Likely: #6 SCR
Exotics Use: #11 Zipperoo 7-2 WIN
Super/Other: #10 Stonewood 8-1


P6 Play: Didn't get back with scratches/Off Turf adjustments.. Sorry..


@$50 P4 Play:

Post-scratches..

6: 1-10-11
7: 7-9
8: 3-5-6
9: 5-10-11

3x2x3x3 = $54



HOLLYWOOD PARK


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 True Bella 8-1
Most Likely: #8 Twelve Twenty Two 9-2
Exotics Use: #2 Distorted Passion 5-2 WON
Super/Other: #1 Harmony Creator 8-1


5th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Soul City Slew 3-1 2nd
Most Likely: #4 Silver Stetson Man 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Ever a Friend 2-1 4th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #11 Sky Patriot 8-1
Most Likely: #7 SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Signature Move 5-2 3rd
Super/Other: #10 Tiz Now Tiz Then 12-1 4th


7th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Barclay Drive 8-1
Most Likely: #9 Dr. Einstein 9-2
Exotics Use: #3 Desert Sea 3-1
Super/Other: #2 Americanrevolution 4-1


8th: 5th Audrey Skirball-Kenis, 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD)

Best Value: #2 Lavender Sky 5-1
Most Likely: #6 Model 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Big Bertha 7-2


9th: CA-bred MDN CLM, 2yo, 7f (Super)

Best Value: #15 Simulcast 8-1
Most Likely: #13 Captain Solis 7-2
Exotics Use: #9 Cavanaugh 5-2
Super/Other: #12 Dirty Dish Mitch 4-1


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2-8-10
5: 4-6
6: (7-SCR) Rec'd 3
7: 6-9
8: 2-5-6
9: 13-15

3x2x1x2x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-(7-SCR) SUB 11
7: 2-3-6-9
8: 2-5-6
9: 13-15

2x4x3x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve