11/10: AQU/HOL Carryovers
 

Pair of large carries into Saturday with Big A starting at $118,000 and Inglewood at $364,000.. And Churchill has a $53,000 bulge starting the sextet! New York sequence is particularly challenging with glut of state-bred affairs muddying the waters. Hollywood no picnic either, but a pair of shorter field tests at least help narrow the possibilities.. Weather a non-factor at major circuits today.. My views below (Calder/Churchill seperate thread.


AQUEDUCT


4th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, Super)

Came OFF THE TURF...

Best Value: #5 Electric Mayhem 20-1 12th
Most Likely: #8 SCR
Exotics Use: #3 SCR
Super/Other: #7 Sir Cryptomite 4-1 7th


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, GS)

Best Value: #7 Caller Appeal 12-1 9th
Most Likely: #5 Makin Me Famous 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Al's Lark 4-1 2nd
Super/Other: #9 Woodmere 6-1 8th


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, DD)

Best Value: #13 SCR
Most Likely: #1 (POE) The Truffle Man 7-2 WON
Exotics Use: #10 Ring Bernadette 6-1 5th
Super/Other: #11 Wise Mountain 9-2 12th


7th: The Lady Tak, 3yo-F, 6f (P3)

Best Value: #7 Sea the Joy 12-1 5th
Most Likely: #9 YOUR FLAME IN ME 2-1 WON
Exotics Use: #6 Dixie Dawn 4-1 7th
Super/Other: #3 SCR


8th: 48th Red Smith H. (Gr. II), 3+, 11f-T (DD, Super)

A wildly competitive bunch with no standouts and few throwouts..

Best Value: #6 Operation Red Dawn 6-1
Most Likely: #5 Golden Strategy 10-1
Exotics Use: #3 Bee Charmer 5-1
Super/Other: #7 Precious Passion 10-1


9th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #5 Baxter 15-1
Most Likely: #6 SCR
Exotics Use: #11 Zipperoo 7-2 WIN
Super/Other: #10 Stonewood 8-1


P6 Play: Didn't get back with scratches/Off Turf adjustments.. Sorry..


@$50 P4 Play:

Post-scratches..

6: 1-10-11
7: 7-9
8: 3-5-6
9: 5-10-11

3x2x3x3 = $54



HOLLYWOOD PARK


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 True Bella 8-1
Most Likely: #8 Twelve Twenty Two 9-2
Exotics Use: #2 Distorted Passion 5-2 WON
Super/Other: #1 Harmony Creator 8-1


5th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Soul City Slew 3-1 2nd
Most Likely: #4 Silver Stetson Man 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Ever a Friend 2-1 4th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #11 Sky Patriot 8-1
Most Likely: #7 SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Signature Move 5-2 3rd
Super/Other: #10 Tiz Now Tiz Then 12-1 4th


7th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Barclay Drive 8-1
Most Likely: #9 Dr. Einstein 9-2
Exotics Use: #3 Desert Sea 3-1
Super/Other: #2 Americanrevolution 4-1


8th: 5th Audrey Skirball-Kenis, 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD)

Best Value: #2 Lavender Sky 5-1
Most Likely: #6 Model 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Big Bertha 7-2


9th: CA-bred MDN CLM, 2yo, 7f (Super)

Best Value: #15 Simulcast 8-1
Most Likely: #13 Captain Solis 7-2
Exotics Use: #9 Cavanaugh 5-2
Super/Other: #12 Dirty Dish Mitch 4-1


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2-8-10
5: 4-6
6: (7-SCR) Rec'd 3
7: 6-9
8: 2-5-6
9: 13-15

3x2x1x2x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-(7-SCR) SUB 11
7: 2-3-6-9
8: 2-5-6
9: 13-15

2x4x3x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Holly 6th
 

Although he looks like the best single of the day, the thought of singling Zetterberg is skeeving me out.

He chased runaway winners in his first two starts and actually lost ground to those winners in the stretch. I can't get over the feeling that one of these (Signature Move on the rail?) is going to bust out and Zetterberg will chase and may not catch.

The other problem is finding a single elsewhere, which is not looking good....

That's the issue..

Aqu P6
 

11,15 // 1A,5,8,10 // 1,11 // 9 // 5,6,9 // 10,11 = $192 ticket

Good Luck to All... gonna spend more @ HOL!!!

Hol P6
 

Going CAVEMAN in Cali today...

2,8 // 1,4,6 // 7,13 // 2,3,4,9 // 3,6 // 4,9,13,15 = $768

Good Luck to All

Going to pass on pick6 stabs today. Split AQU pk4 tix with Pointman / Ltj.

Ticket #1
R6 - 1,4,6,10,12
R7 - 2,9
R8 - 1,3,5,6
R9 - 1,5,9,10,11


Ticket #2
R6 - 1,10,12
R7 - 9
R8 - 1,3,5,6
R9 - 5,8,11

Good Luck!

AQU PK4

1 10 11
69
1569
1 10 11 = $72


gl all


-bt-

Four down, two to go. Looking good so far...

I regret throwing Dave out of my ticket. Didn't think the NY Bred could get it done today.

F#ck'n Dave!


-bt-

Tell me about it...

Thanks, pmac... Dave got me like he did others here today in 8th.
I had been out with Mrs. Dyl and just read results through five legs. Still got shot at consos with 10 & 11. May eek out some return from chalkfest this afternoon. With my luck lately, I should play All // 10,11 // 10,11 // All ; All // 10,11 // All // 10,11; and All // All // 10,11 // 10,11 just for kicks. No need for WIN coverage... Hahaha!

Mr. FiveOfSix today for $54.50 x 3 = $163.50 minus $192.00 = $28.50 deficit

Hopefully, my Hollywood ticket will ROCK later...

Nice job Dylbert.

My Hol P4 ... 7,13/ 1,9/ 5/ 7,9,12,13,15

2x2x5 $20

Thanks, PM... I got through 4th @ HOL with chalk! Hopefully, 1 and 6 will pick up their respective hoofs and make HOL 5th a real race.

Good Luck with your Late P4. Big Bertha, your single, was my third choice in that race with young, talented Louisianian Smokin' Joe Talamo aboard.

Damn 3 in the 2nd leg at Hollywood knocked everyone out. grrrrrrrr:mad: