7/28: Saratoga ~ Day 6 ($37k C/O; John Morrissey)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Bargaining Table 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Zubi Zubi Zu 8-5 4th
Best Value: #2 Dark Rain 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Moon Medal 2-1 WON ($9.50)


2nd: NY-MCLM/$40, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Not So Quiet Man 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 House of Friends 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Exotics Use: #7 Colonel Andy 4-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Risky Sour 6-1 5th


3rd: NY-MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Born for a Storm 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 James Lane 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Benevolence 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Only You 7-2 6th
Super Add: #1 Royal Ekati 8-1 5th


4th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Flash Trading 4-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #7 River Date 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Scout Leader 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #1 Gone Local 8-1 6th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$37k P6 C/O starts here..

Brutal start to P6 C/O sequence with 7 firsters and 3 with moderate experience. Watch board for clues..

Most Likely: #6 Song for the Soul 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Le Grand Warrior 6-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Hamptons Holiday 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Mr. Massena 10-1 7th


P5 Grid:

1: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 1-5-8 (C)
2: 3-6 (A), 7-9 (B), 2-4 (C)
3: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
4: 4 (A), - (B), 1-6-7 (C)
5: 6-8 (A), 4-9 (B), 2-3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 3-6 (A), 7-9 (B), 2-4 (C)
3: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
4: 4-7 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
5: 6-8-9 (A), 3-4-7 (B), 1-2-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


6th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Murderously well-matched starter group..

Most Likely: #3 St. Louie 4-1 6th
Next Best: #6 End Play 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Verger 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Elusive Neko 5-1 8th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

1a-2-4-8 all come out..

Most Likely: #3 Nubin Ridge 5th
Next Best: #5 Proven Commodity 4th
Best Value: #9 Ackeret 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Story to Tell 3rd


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Havana Moon 5-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Swear by It 6-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Stella Street 9-2 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Give Us a Reason 30-1 8th


9th: 13th John Morrissey-NY, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Moonlight Song 7-2 WON ($14.80)
Best Value: #8 Drama King 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Weekend Hideaway 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 John's Island 12-1 7th


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #9 Spun Copper 8-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Sugar Pi Squared 12-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Reckless Humor 7-2 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #1e Sciacca entry 9-2 5th/6th


P4 Grid:

7: 3-5 (A), 1-9 (B), 6-7 (C)
8: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), 3-8-11 (C)
9: 2-8 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-3-4-6 (C)
10: 7-9-10 (A), - (B), 1-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve