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-   -   7/28: Saratoga ~ Day 6 ($37k C/O; John Morrissey) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=60618)

Kasept 07-28-2016 06:24 AM

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Bargaining Table 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Zubi Zubi Zu 8-5 4th
Best Value: #2 Dark Rain 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Moon Medal 2-1 WON ($9.50)


2nd: NY-MCLM/$40, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Not So Quiet Man 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 House of Friends 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Exotics Use: #7 Colonel Andy 4-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Risky Sour 6-1 5th


3rd: NY-MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Born for a Storm 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 James Lane 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Benevolence 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Only You 7-2 6th
Super Add: #1 Royal Ekati 8-1 5th


4th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Flash Trading 4-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #7 River Date 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Scout Leader 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #1 Gone Local 8-1 6th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$37k P6 C/O starts here..

Brutal start to P6 C/O sequence with 7 firsters and 3 with moderate experience. Watch board for clues..

Most Likely: #6 Song for the Soul 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Le Grand Warrior 6-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Hamptons Holiday 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Mr. Massena 10-1 7th


P5 Grid:

1: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 1-5-8 (C)
2: 3-6 (A), 7-9 (B), 2-4 (C)
3: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
4: 4 (A), - (B), 1-6-7 (C)
5: 6-8 (A), 4-9 (B), 2-3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 3-6 (A), 7-9 (B), 2-4 (C)
3: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
4: 4-7 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
5: 6-8-9 (A), 3-4-7 (B), 1-2-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


6th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Murderously well-matched starter group..

Most Likely: #3 St. Louie 4-1 6th
Next Best: #6 End Play 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Verger 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Elusive Neko 5-1 8th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

1a-2-4-8 all come out..

Most Likely: #3 Nubin Ridge 5th
Next Best: #5 Proven Commodity 4th
Best Value: #9 Ackeret 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Story to Tell 3rd


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Havana Moon 5-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Swear by It 6-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Stella Street 9-2 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Give Us a Reason 30-1 8th


9th: 13th John Morrissey-NY, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Moonlight Song 7-2 WON ($14.80)
Best Value: #8 Drama King 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Weekend Hideaway 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 John's Island 12-1 7th


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #9 Spun Copper 8-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Sugar Pi Squared 12-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Reckless Humor 7-2 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #1e Sciacca entry 9-2 5th/6th


P4 Grid:

7: 3-5 (A), 1-9 (B), 6-7 (C)
8: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), 3-8-11 (C)
9: 2-8 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-3-4-6 (C)
10: 7-9-10 (A), - (B), 1-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 07-28-2016 10:17 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

ADJMK 07-28-2016 03:31 PM

Got to get Blu on the show tomorrow if he has finished counting his money. Course he runs over my money on Mewannarose

Max 07-28-2016 03:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 1071107)
Got to get Blu on the show tomorrow if he has finished counting his money. Course he runs over my money on Mewannarose


Blu usually holds court at the Saratoga racino. Quite a character and when Steve has him on the show it's always a classic.

Kasept 07-28-2016 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 1071107)
Got to get Blu on the show tomorrow if he has finished counting his money. Course he runs over my money on Mewannarose

Next week.. Too much going on down here with Haskell, etc.

Kasept 07-28-2016 07:08 PM

$133,461 DBL P6 C/O FRIDAY

Looked impossible and played out that way.. Glad I steered clear. $17.40, $47.80, $27.00, $26.80, $14.80, $7.30.


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