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#1
04-06-2009, 06:05 PM
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Looking For A Compelling Reason to Pick Derby Winner
I am getting the Kentucky Derby fever. I picked the last three winners, and it would have been four in a row had Afleet Alex run the type of race he was capable of in 2005. Not bad considering that was my first year of becoming a fan of the sport and betting winners in some of the big TC races including the Triple Crown and Breeders Cup Classic. In total I have bet and won 7 winners and lost 4. Not bad for a newbie. Any way, I didn’t come on here to parade my winning record.
To try and keep my Derby streak alive, I’ve been doing my research on who I might like for next month’s Run For The Roses. This time last week, Quality Road, I Want Revenge, and The Pamplemousse were my top three picks. In just a few days, Quality Road has a quarter crack, The Pamplemousse is out for a while, and while I Want Revenge finished the Wood impressively, he had a very unimpressive start to the race. I’m not discounting him but feel a lot less confident about his chances of winning. Shades of last year’s Belmont are haunting me regarding Quality road's injury.. So at this point, I am now further from a pick I can feel good about than I was even several weeks ago. My next tier is Friesan Fire, Muskat Man, and Chocolate Candy. I’m curious if anyone has a favorite and compelling reason why as to which horse might win The Kentucky Derby. 
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#3
04-06-2009, 09:09 PM
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I wait until the post positions are drawn and make my choice based on who appears to be the best value.
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#6
04-06-2009, 09:44 PM
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i've met a lot of women at the track. in the last year i've gotten laid 15 times after meeting someone at the track and only failed to bed 2 i had any interest in. after last years santa anita derby, i did a pair of 22 year old twins. not bad for a guy that turns 52 next month. but anyway, i didn't come on here to parade my incredible sexual prowess.
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#7
04-06-2009, 10:05 PM
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#8
04-06-2009, 10:07 PM
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__________________
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#9
04-07-2009, 07:51 AM
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#10
04-07-2009, 08:09 AM
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I usually find making money the most compelling reason to pick the Derby winner. Bragging rights are good too. Personal satisfaction? The reasons are literally endless.
To each his own.
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#11
04-07-2009, 08:16 AM
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Viagra or Ambien?
Quote:
__________________
Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things.
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#12
04-07-2009, 10:04 AM
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Quote:
--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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#13
04-07-2009, 05:02 PM
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Who'll ride IWR in the Derby? If J.R. is not riding Quality Road could he ride IWR? I hope not because J.R. hasn't done very well in past Derby rides.
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#14
04-07-2009, 05:05 PM
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#15
04-07-2009, 05:14 PM
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Best rider available maybe? I don't know just saying some trainers use different riders.
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#16
04-07-2009, 05:20 PM
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#18
04-07-2009, 05:41 PM
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I agree, I know that every time I see a horse break slow, I write him off forever. Even if he hasn't had any semblance of a gate problem before.
I've picked every Derby winner since World War II. Not bad for a bullshitter. And Talamo is riding IWR.
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#19
04-07-2009, 05:58 PM
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#20
04-07-2009, 06:14 PM
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BUILT FOR PLEASURE, well out in the track while between horses, raced forwardly into the backstretch but was finished before reaching the far turn...would have certainly destroyed Grindstone with a different jockey aboard. Case closed.
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