|
|
 |
|
#1
05-31-2008, 07:14 AM
|
||||
|
||||
5/31: BEL-$166k; HOL-$356k C/O's; CD P4
Attempts at Belmont & Hollywood carryovers failed nationwide Friday lending gravitas to an otherwise blase' Saturday... Add in Churchill's three stake P4 and it becomes a fun afternoon!
BELMONT PARK Be aware that thunderstorms have potential to wreak havoc with this card as protecting turf courses for next week will be priority.. 5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f-T Most Likely: #6 Pano's Love 4-1 4th Best Value: #8 Senor Musician 6-1 2nd Next Best: #4 Phobia 5-2 3rd Exotics Add: #2 City Sneakers 7-2 5th 6th: Pebo's Guy (NYB), 3+, 6f-T Most Likely: #3 Southern Prince 3-1 9th Best Value: #7 Silver Timber 6-1 4th Next Best: #5 Gimme Credit 5-2 5th Exotics Add: #4 Metro Meteor 12-1 3rd 7th: CLM, 3+, 6f-T Most Likely: #6 Caesar Beware 3-1 WON Best Value: #7 Loushe 20-1 10th Next Best: #2 (POE) Nacascolo 4-1 2nd Exotics Add: #9 Winzalot 6-1 3rd 8th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T Toughest race for me in the sequence.. Note AE's #12/14 are dangerous if getting into field.. Most Likely: #8 Wrintingonthewall 3-1 2nd Best Value: #10 Northern Storm 8-1 9th Next Best: #5 Gold Pageantry 4-1 8th Exotics Add: #1 Criminal Power 20-1 4th 9th: 14th Sands Point (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 9f-T Many in love with Life is Sweet here, but I can't seperate the top three and will use all of them in multis.. Most Likely: #4 Alwajeeha 5-2 4th Best Value: #7 I Lost My Choo 3-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Life is Sweet 2-1 2nd 10th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m Most Likely: #7 Buddha Calling 8-5 2nd Best Value: #6 SCR Next Best: #9 Piper's Fort 3-1 WON Exotics Add: #5 True George 12-1 7th <$300 P6 Play: 5: 2-4-6-8 6: 3-7 7: 6-7 8: 1-8-10 9: 2-4-7 10: 7 4x2x2x3x3x1 = 144 x $2 = $288 CHURCHILL DOWNS 8th: 34th Dogwood (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 1m Most Likely: #1 Alina 5-2 4th Best Value: #5 SCR Next Best: #4 Secret Gypsy 4-1 3rd Exotics Add: #2 Keep the Peace 2-1 2nd 9th: 5th Opening Verse (L), 3+, 8.5f-T Best Value: #3 Rosberg 10-1 6th Most Likely: #7 Seaside Retreat 5-1 2nd Next Best: #10 Cloudy's Knight 4-1 7th Exotics Add: #5 Yate's Black Cat 5-1 5th 10th: 20th Aristides (Gr. III), 3+, 6f Most Likely: #4 Indian Chant 2-1 WON Best Value: #1 Esperamos 4-1 5th Next Best: #2 Elite Squadron 7-2 3rd 11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T Most Likely: #9 Gloria Goodbody 7-2 3rd Best Value: #6 Lucky Flyer 5-1 4th Next Best: #3 Press Leak 3-1 WON Exotics Add: #10 Sauce Bernaise 6-1 8th <$50 P4 Play: 8: 1-5 9: 3-7 10: 1-2-4 11: 3-6-9-10 2x2x3x4 = $48 HOLLYWOOD PARK 4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-T Most Likely: #6 Foreign 3-1 5th Best Value: #2 Asturias 12-1 7th Next Best: #5 Quick Commander 4-1 WON Exotics Add: #9 Indy Blaze 5-1 8th 5th: 57th Milady H. (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f Most Likely: #6 Zenyatta 4-5 WON Best Value: #8 Saint Teresita 8-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Double Trouble 8-1 5th Exotics Add: #2 SCR 6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f Most Likely: #8 Scout About 5-2 WON Next Best: #3 Sleepin In 3-1 2nd Best Value: #2 Saint's Crown 8-1 4th Exotics Add: #5 Flashing Forward 4-1 3rd 7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f-T Most Likely: #11 Pindaric 9-2 7th Best Value: #7 Whatsitgonnatake 8-1 WON Next Best: #2 Missoula 6-1 2nd Exotics Add: #5 Newport Topper 12-1 5th 8th: 55th Californian (Gr. II), 3+, 9f Most Likely: #4 Surf Cat 5-2 3rd Next Best: #1 Heatseeker 8-5 WON 9th: CLM, 4+, 6f Most Likely: #1 Grits 6-1 4th Next Best: #13 Common Trust 7-2 3rd Best Value: #10 Shootist 12-1 11th Exotics Add: #2 Forest Danz 6-1 13th High 5 Play: #3 World War 9-2 2nd <$300 P6 Play: 4: 2-6 5: 6-7-8 6: 3-8 7: 2-5-7-11 8: 4 9: 1-10-13 2x3x2x4x1x3 = 144 x $2 = $288 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 06-01-2008 at 07:11 AM. 
|
|
#2
05-31-2008, 09:37 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Tough card here at Belmont. For what it's worth here is my take after reviewing Steve's post:
5th I think you missed Prime Obsession #5 WON who despite being steadied and pinched back at the break got up for 3rd in his last, missing by 3. A length behind your top choice. In a race lacking alot of speed I like the 4, Phobia as well. 6th Southern Prince # 3 LAST has the controlling speed. Silver Timber 7 FORTH, second off the layoff is hard to not see but Redefined 6 SECOND, coming in off an 8 month layoff comes in with a solid work tab, will get covered up by Kenny D. and should be driving in the stretch. 7th Caesar Beware WON makes a big drop in company indicating Mclaughlin wants to make room for all those 2 yo's from Darley/Shadwell and has a couple works with the Belmont crew who tend to tighten the screws well. Nacascolo 2, is a solid second choice. I don't see Loushe doing much though. Very erratic performer against much less company than he will see here. 8th Flip a coin time. I like Writingonthewall 8, but hate betting first time against winners. But he has been impressive in his only two starts and figures to improve, 2nd off layoff. Not sure if he'll get the distance but is bred well for the turf. Like Gold Pageantry 5 here with second off layoff. But Typhoon Tycoon WON looks interesting. 1st off 5 month layoff but 1st time lasix and a switch to Alan Garcia who has his moments but has been riding very well with alot of confidence. 9th Raw Silk WON will take them all out for a ride and does come in with a bullet work but he won't sustain his run. He does ensure a bit of an honest pace for the Alwajeeha FOURTH/I Lost My Choo SECOND freight train. Life Is Sweet THIRD is formidable but I think Kenny D will have a sour taste in his mouth at the end. 10th Buddha Calling SECOND is a great single in a fairly single-less card. However, Piper's Fort WON , the 9 has been putting up good fig's of late, runs well on wet or dry and adds Blinks. Add that he is 2 for 3 at the distance and, well, there goes the single.
__________________
Ron Thompson   Avatar is Invasor in his stall/Post Classic taken by my trusty cell phone camera. Last edited by Handicappy : 05-31-2008 at 04:33 PM.
|
|
#3
05-31-2008, 09:48 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#4
05-31-2008, 09:54 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
|
|
#5
05-31-2008, 10:01 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#6
05-31-2008, 10:02 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
|
|
#7
05-31-2008, 10:06 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Thanks for the advice. New here and I can go off a bit. Better?
__________________
Ron Thompson Avatar is Invasor in his stall/Post Classic taken by my trusty cell phone camera.
|
|
#8
05-31-2008, 10:12 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Ok. Well good luck putting money on the races at Belmont today. There's a very good chance they'll have to cancel this afternoon.
|
|
#9
05-31-2008, 10:17 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
cancel the turf or the entire card? -bt-
|
|
#10
05-31-2008, 10:19 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#11
05-31-2008, 10:35 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
KEEP CHECKING TO SEE IF T-STORMS ARRIVE AND AFFECT TURF DECISION:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp 1 5 Kiln Creek Early 6 Silver Prospector Early 2 1 (poe) Tourism Early 6 Song of the Lynx Early 5 1A Look Now Early 2B Blazing Buddha Early 10 Kid Doc Early 6 10 Gold and Roses Early 11 Whistlin' Early 12 Market Psychology Early 7 11 Heavyweight Early 8 1A Flag Is Flying Early 11 Takemywife Please Early 12 Stepaside Early 13 Carry the Day Early 14 Sky Dragon Early 10 6 Jacinth Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
|
|
#12
05-31-2008, 10:41 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Churchill Downs
http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...rogram-changes
Race 8 -- 34th running of the $100,000-added Dogwood Stakes (Grade III) NO CHANGES Race 9 -- 5th running of the $100,000-added Opening Verse OVERWEIGHT #1 Prom Shoes is +3 OVERWEIGHT #3 Rosberg is +3 OVERWEIGHT #8 Therecomesatiger is +3 SCRATCH #9 Obi Wan Kenobi SCRATCH #11 Bold Start JOCKEY CHANGE #12 is John McKee Race 10 -- 20th running of the $125,000-added Aristides Stakes (Grade III) NO CHANGES Race 11 -- SUPER HI-5/NO CARRYOVER SCRATCH AE #13 Santana Love SCRATCH AE #14 Fine Line
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
|
|
#13
05-31-2008, 11:04 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Darn, I am 30 minutes north of Belmont in Westchester and it is already starting to rain here. Have to make my bet at the last minute which will be around 3 pm.
__________________
Ron Thompson Avatar is Invasor in his stall/Post Classic taken by my trusty cell phone camera.
|
|
#15
05-31-2008, 11:10 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
__________________
Ron Thompson Avatar is Invasor in his stall/Post Classic taken by my trusty cell phone camera.
|
|
#17
05-31-2008, 12:24 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Track sloppy but turf still "ON" and firm as of now... Keep checking...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
|
|
#18
05-31-2008, 12:29 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
thought I heard them announce that they are off the turf at Belmont
|
|
#19
05-31-2008, 12:30 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
It's listed as firm right now. . .
|
|
#20
05-31-2008, 12:47 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
apparently I heard an off the turf announcement for another track....not Belmont
|
Linear Mode
