Fleet Valid in for a tag?

philcski · #1 11-19-2007, 06:41 PM

Wednesday @ Aqueduct, race 3 for $50k. What's the story with that?

Kasept · #2 11-19-2007, 08:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski

Wednesday @ Aqueduct, race 3 for $50k. What's the story with that?

'Pork Chop' is a tough horse to keep sound.

pmacdaddy · #3 11-19-2007, 08:52 PM

Just started looking at Wed. I am also a bit suprised to see Becky's Flute in for $25K Tag in 1st. Last race was probably not an ideal distance and soft turf probably didn't help matters.

Drop just seems a bit much considering steady diet of State Bred Stakes over last year and good success over inner track.

Rudeboyelvis · #4 11-19-2007, 09:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pmacdaddy

Just started looking at Wed. I am also a bit suprised to see Becky's Flute in for $25K Tag in 1st. Last race was probably not an ideal distance and soft turf probably didn't help matters.

Drop just seems a bit much considering steady diet of State Bred Stakes over last year and good success over inner track.

That's the first horse I noticed too - very strange, if sound she ought to be at least competitive in N2X over the winter, and if nothing else has earned some black type and over 100k in earnings - not sure of her ped but considering some of the NY breds going through the sales lately, you'd think one would see some value as a broodmare prospect

blackthroatedwind · #5 11-19-2007, 10:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

That's the first horse I noticed too - very strange, if sound she ought to be at least competitive in N2X over the winter, and if nothing else has earned some black type and over 100k in earnings - not sure of her ped but considering some of the NY breds going through the sales lately, you'd think one would see some value as a broodmare prospect

She's not eligible for restricted NW2X races.....and not competitive in open races. This is where she belongs IMO.

pmacdaddy · #6 11-19-2007, 10:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

She's not eligible for restricted NW2X races.....and not competitive in open races. This is where she belongs IMO.

I assume Dutrow will be the fav. So what's a fair ML on Becky?

Not sure how I feel about her, but she has been over her head and the race appears to have some pace. Works don't raise any big concerns as far as I can see.

Declining Beyers are a bit tough, but last was on a soft turf and if you skip that, it's not so bad.. Maybe just a good spot to drop with bad showing in last.

Mainly perplexed on why they go for $25K tag after insisting on staked for last 12 months. See she was in for $40K when Jerkins had her last.

philcski · #7 11-20-2007, 08:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

'Pork Chop' is a tough horse to keep sound.

Thought that might be the story. Very nice horse, but the gaps in the resume are hard to ignore. Figured he would fit well in the Fall Highweight, though.

blackthroatedwind · #8 11-20-2007, 08:58 AM

Fleet Valid has an enormous " claim me " sign around his neck. He may win but I wouldn't touch him.

He's also virtually guaranteed to be claimed.

philcski · #9 11-20-2007, 09:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Fleet Valid has an enormous " claim me " sign around his neck. He may win but I wouldn't touch him.

He's also virtually guaranteed to be claimed.

Agree on both points... and I'd lay 4/5 a Dutrow drops the slip. Winning Move is the 5/2 second choice.

Linny · #10 11-20-2007, 09:47 AM

Jacobsen too. If A Dutrow knows a thing or two about him from the MD circuit, then Rick D may be less likely to claim.

Linny · #11 11-20-2007, 08:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski

Wednesday @ Aqueduct, race 3 for $50k. What's the story with that?

It looks like he's through his conditions, so there are not many options. Though he's run 3 BSF's over 100, each was followed by a heavy regression, meaning he doesn't stand hard racing. He's run with good horses but when he runs with very good ones, he gets beaten. He may be Mid-Atlantic stakes quality but he's not NY stakes quality. I'm guessing that if Trombetta and the owners felt he was worth it, they'd try him in some of the MD stakes. The fact that they are willing to lose him says he may have a gaping hole. Of course he may still win for fun and be claimed and have a good winter. He's bred for mud, has speed and could be an inner tube monster. One man's floor is another man's ceiling.