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Old 10-27-2022, 06:17 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,936
Default 10/27: Belmont@Aqueduct ($159k DBL P6 C/O)

BEL@AQU


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$159k DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Quirky start to sequence with Self Isolation the one to catch in field of moderate pace..

Best Value: #1 Sweet Willemina 9-2 WON-DH ($5.10)
Next Best: #6 Self Isolation 5-2 WON-DH ($3.90)

Exotics Use: #3 It's Cold in Dehere 4-1
Super Add: #5 Customerexperience 7-2


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Authentic speed involved here which make Wootton Asset & Shadow Sphinx the ones to feature..

Most Likely: #3 Wootten Asset 3-1 WON ($7.70)
Next Best: #5 Shadow Sphinx 6-1 2nd
Bes Value: #7 Advanced Strategy 10-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Ocean Atlantique 7-2 5th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Obvious Don't Lose Cruz & Inspector ideally get you through this spot, but as discussed with Sid Fernando on Pedigree Focus Wednesday, Broman home bred Mariachi hales from their powerhouse female family (Antespend/Seeking the Ante and daughters) and could pop on debut. Screen Door is obscured and a boxcar number, but is half to 3 stakes winners..

Most Likely: #10 Don't Lose Cruz 9-5 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #4 Inspector 3-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Mariachi 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Screen Door 15-1 8th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-Outer (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Fauci 6-1 10th
Next Best: #11 Thin White Duke 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Maxwell Esquire 10-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Turn of Events 9-2 5th


8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #2 Racing Colors 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Chaysenbryn 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Know It All Audrey 7-5 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #5 Mia Bea Star 6-1 2nd


9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m-OFF/TURF

Brutally murky (now off turf) state-breds to finish sequence..

Most Likely: #13 Atlanta's Acuna 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Provision 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2b Mighty Atlas 15-1 WON ($25.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Thethrillofvictory 4-1 5th


P6 Grid:

4: 1-6 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
5: 3-5 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
6: 10 (A), 4 (B), 8 (C)
7: 8-11 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x3x1 = $72
All A's: 2x2x1x2x3x1 = $24
Backups: $24 (7-8 in 5th) + $24 (8 in 6th) + $24 (3-6 in 7th)

$1 Pick 6 Conso (1,6/3,6,12,13,14,15,16/10/4,10,11,13,14,15,16/1,7,8/2) $15.00 x 2 = $30.00


P5 Grid:

5: 3-5 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
6: 4-10 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
7: 8-11 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
8: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $6 (8 in 6th)


P4 Grid:

6: 4-10 (A), 8 (B), 8 (C)
7: 8-11 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
8: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $6 (8 in 6th)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-28-2022 at 04:35 AM.
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