07/23/11 Saratoga race 8

[ellpol]

Any opinions from our Saratoga experts on todays Saratoga race 2. My notes say Tulane Up Leapt in the air at the start and broke slow. Can he reverse the result on the 2 and 8 from that race on 7-23-11 8th race In todays 2nd race? Looks like good turf breeding. Opinions desired and accepted please!!

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by ellpol

Any opinions from our Saratoga experts on todays Saratoga race 2. My notes say Tulane Up Leapt in the air at the start and broke slow. Can he reverse the result on the 2 and 8 from that race on 7-23-11 8th race In todays 2nd race? Looks like good turf breeding. Opinions desired and accepted please!!

First thing, he is a she.
Leapt in the air is putting it mildly, it was a terrible start pretty much taking her out of the race completely. Despite the trouble she did make a decent run after being stuck on the rail and then going wide. I'm not sure where Ortiz is going to go with her, but there seems to be no speed in the race.
It also doesn't seem like an extremely strong group.
I'm expecting Notell to take alot of money, but she had a perfect trip last time and couldn't catch the front runner. (If I remember correctly, there was a speed bias early in the meet because of the lack of rain that might have had an affect, but I could be wrong about that).
Strikealinethruit had a ton of trouble in the stretch, when she finally got through she ran up for third. I also expect Crypto Kitten to be much better in her second start. She gets a positive rider change (Garcia has been brutal) and is adding the shades for her second career start. She was very rank and blew the turn for home in her debut. I think she might try to shake loose on the lead.

If I was playing the race, I would use the 3,8,9 in Mulitis and probably play the 9 to win. Thinking she will be the squarest price of all of them, with the chance of her going wire to wire with the blinks on for the first time.

Now that I said I wouldn't use her, she'll probably win by 6.
I'm far from a pro, but that's my take.
Good Luck.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by MaTH716

First thing, he is a she.
Leapt in the air is putting it mildly, it was a terrible start pretty much taking her out of the race completely. Despite the trouble she did make a decent run after being stuck on the rail and then going wide. I'm not sure where Ortiz is going to go with her, but there seems to be no speed in the race.
It also doesn't seem like an extremely strong group.
I'm expecting Notell to take alot of money, but she had a perfect trip last time and couldn't catch the front runner. (If I remember correctly, there was a speed bias early in the meet because of the lack of rain that might have had an affect, but I could be wrong about that).
Strikealinethruit had a ton of trouble in the stretch, when she finally got through she ran up for third. I also expect Crypto Kitten to be much better in her second start. She gets a positive rider change (Garcia has been brutal) and is adding the shades for her second career start. She was very rank and blew the turn for home in her debut. I think she might try to shake loose on the lead.

If I was playing the race, I would use the 3,8,9 in Mulitis and probably play the 9 to win. Thinking she will be the squarest price of all of them, with the chance of her going wire to wire with the blinks on for the first time.

Now that I said I wouldn't use her, she'll probably win by 6.
I'm far from a pro, but that's my take.
Good Luck.

Slow day at the office?

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by GPK

Slow day at the office?

GFY

[ellpol]

Originally Posted by MaTH716

First thing, he is a she.
Leapt in the air is putting it mildly, it was a terrible start pretty much taking her out of the race completely. Despite the trouble she did make a decent run after being stuck on the rail and then going wide. I'm not sure where Ortiz is going to go with her, but there seems to be no speed in the race.
It also doesn't seem like an extremely strong group.
I'm expecting Notell to take alot of money, but she had a perfect trip last time and couldn't catch the front runner. (If I remember correctly, there was a speed bias early in the meet because of the lack of rain that might have had an affect, but I could be wrong about that).
Strikealinethruit had a ton of trouble in the stretch, when she finally got through she ran up for third. I also expect Crypto Kitten to be much better in her second start. She gets a positive rider change (Garcia has been brutal) and is adding the shades for her second career start. She was very rank and blew the turn for home in her debut. I think she might try to shake loose on the lead.

If I was playing the race, I would use the 3,8,9 in Mulitis and probably play the 9 to win. Thinking she will be the squarest price of all of them, with the chance of her going wire to wire with the blinks on for the first time.

Now that I said I wouldn't use her, she'll probably win by 6.
I'm far from a pro, but that's my take.
Good Luck.

Thanks for the race summary. I appreciate it.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by ellpol

Thanks for the race summary. I appreciate it.

Don't listen to him.

[GPK]

FWIW....Kent's only mount on the card today is the only FTS in that race.

Beware the BigsMC "done no wrong" angle.

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by GPK

FWIW....Kent's only mount on the card today is the only FTS in that race.

Beware the BigsMC "done no wrong" angle.

I though that angle only applies to Tampa Bay Downs and Derby Lane Greyhounds.

[MaTH716]

Wow, Tulane Up is 5/2 right now with 24 MTP off an 8-1 ML.

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by GPK

FWIW....Kent's only mount on the card today is the only FTS in that race.

Beware the BigsMC "done no wrong" angle.

I just noticed that Kent isn't riding her, it's now Jaime Rodriguez.

[ellpol]

The 3 is taking a lot more early $$$ than I thought she would

[ellpol]

Hope all the horses and jockeys are ok. What a shocker.

[MaTH716]

Originally Posted by ellpol

Hope all the horses and jockeys are ok. What a shocker.

What happened?

[Seattleallstar]

nasty spill down the stretch, it was an odd race all around. Hope the horses and jockeys are ok.

[ellpol]

The 7 won at 24-1 and the 4 and 6 fell on the turn for home all got up and walked off and appear ok

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by ellpol

Thanks for the race summary. I appreciate it.

Agreed. We need more of this around here. I always enjoy reading other handicapper's opinions. You never know when you may learn something.

Thanks Matt.

[Alabama Stakes]

nice job choking the life out of Mollymollymolly down the backstretch there Castellano. Don't let me need 7/5 off a $54 hoss to start it. what a piece of **** ride that was.