5/31: BEL-$166k; HOL-$356k C/O's; CD P4

[Kasept]

Attempts at Belmont & Hollywood carryovers failed nationwide Friday lending gravitas to an otherwise blase' Saturday... Add in Churchill's three stake P4 and it becomes a fun afternoon!


BELMONT PARK

Be aware that thunderstorms have potential to wreak havoc with this card as protecting turf courses for next week will be priority..

5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f-T

Most Likely: #6 Pano's Love 4-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Senor Musician 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Phobia 5-2 3rd
Exotics Add: #2 City Sneakers 7-2 5th


6th: Pebo's Guy (NYB), 3+, 6f-T

Most Likely: #3 Southern Prince 3-1 9th
Best Value: #7 Silver Timber 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Gimme Credit 5-2 5th
Exotics Add: #4 Metro Meteor 12-1 3rd


7th: CLM, 3+, 6f-T

Most Likely: #6 Caesar Beware 3-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Loushe 20-1 10th
Next Best: #2 (POE) Nacascolo 4-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #9 Winzalot 6-1 3rd


8th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Toughest race for me in the sequence.. Note AE's #12/14 are dangerous if getting into field..

Most Likely: #8 Wrintingonthewall 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Northern Storm 8-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Gold Pageantry 4-1 8th
Exotics Add: #1 Criminal Power 20-1 4th


9th: 14th Sands Point (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 9f-T

Many in love with Life is Sweet here, but I can't seperate the top three and will use all of them in multis..

Most Likely: #4 Alwajeeha 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 I Lost My Choo 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Life is Sweet 2-1 2nd


10th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m

Most Likely: #7 Buddha Calling 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #9 Piper's Fort 3-1 WON
Exotics Add: #5 True George 12-1 7th


<$300 P6 Play:

5: 2-4-6-8
6: 3-7
7: 6-7
8: 1-8-10
9: 2-4-7
10: 7

4x2x2x3x3x1 = 144 x $2 = $288



CHURCHILL DOWNS


8th: 34th Dogwood (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 1m

Most Likely: #1 Alina 5-2 4th
Best Value: #5 SCR
Next Best: #4 Secret Gypsy 4-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #2 Keep the Peace 2-1 2nd


9th: 5th Opening Verse (L), 3+, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #3 Rosberg 10-1 6th
Most Likely: #7 Seaside Retreat 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Cloudy's Knight 4-1 7th
Exotics Add: #5 Yate's Black Cat 5-1 5th


10th: 20th Aristides (Gr. III), 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Indian Chant 2-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Esperamos 4-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Elite Squadron 7-2 3rd


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #9 Gloria Goodbody 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Lucky Flyer 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Press Leak 3-1 WON
Exotics Add: #10 Sauce Bernaise 6-1 8th


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 1-5
9: 3-7
10: 1-2-4
11: 3-6-9-10

2x2x3x4 = $48



HOLLYWOOD PARK


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-T

Most Likely: #6 Foreign 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Asturias 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Quick Commander 4-1 WON
Exotics Add: #9 Indy Blaze 5-1 8th


5th: 57th Milady H. (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f

Most Likely: #6 Zenyatta 4-5 WON
Best Value: #8 Saint Teresita 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Double Trouble 8-1 5th
Exotics Add: #2 SCR


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f

Most Likely: #8 Scout About 5-2 WON
Next Best: #3 Sleepin In 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Saint's Crown 8-1 4th
Exotics Add: #5 Flashing Forward 4-1 3rd


7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f-T

Most Likely: #11 Pindaric 9-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Whatsitgonnatake 8-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Missoula 6-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #5 Newport Topper 12-1 5th


8th: 55th Californian (Gr. II), 3+, 9f

Most Likely: #4 Surf Cat 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Heatseeker 8-5 WON


9th: CLM, 4+, 6f

Most Likely: #1 Grits 6-1 4th
Next Best: #13 Common Trust 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Shootist 12-1 11th
Exotics Add: #2 Forest Danz 6-1 13th
High 5 Play: #3 World War 9-2 2nd


<$300 P6 Play:

4: 2-6
5: 6-7-8
6: 3-8
7: 2-5-7-11
8: 4
9: 1-10-13

2x3x2x4x1x3 = 144 x $2 = $288


Good luck!
Steve