Is this possible?

[Cannon Shell]

http://www.betonline.com/sports-bett...e-betting-2404

This is from this article on Joe Woodard

"On the other end of the spectrum if he runs back a beaten favorite, you have to stay away from those runners with a vengeance. He is 0 for 737 the past 5 years with beaten chalk."

Is it possible this is accurate? It seems impossible for a beaten favorite to not have rebounded to win over 700 times in a row. If he is winning at 40% with favs that means the other 60% that lose havent won next out in over 5 years? Doug???

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

http://www.betonline.com/sports-bett...e-betting-2404

This is from this article on Joe Woodard

"On the other end of the spectrum if he runs back a beaten favorite, you have to stay away from those runners with a vengeance. He is 0 for 737 the past 5 years with beaten chalk."

Is it possible this is accurate? It seems impossible for a beaten favorite to not have rebounded to win over 700 times in a row. If he is winning at 40% with favs that means the other 60% that lose havent won next out in over 5 years? Doug???

Ill forumlate it. Give me a minute.

[Dahoss]

It's true. Amazing stat.

[Dahoss]

I spoke too soon. When you type it into Formulator it does in fact come up as 0 for 764 now. But if you look at a horse like Delta Charlie, he was a beaten favorite at Mountaineer on April 16th and then came back 10 days later and won. He was a beaten favorite on May 27th and then won his next race on August 13th.

[Bigsmc]

Perhaps he denys them ice, as a punishment, when they lose?

[RockHardTen1985]

Im done. But Hoss got it already.

[Cannon Shell]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

Perhaps he denys them ice, as a punishment, when they lose?

Considering the purse levels at some of the tracks he runs at I'm not sure how he feeds them win or lose.

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

"On the other end of the spectrum if he runs back a beaten favorite, you have to stay away from those runners with a vengeance. He is 0 for 737 the past 5 years with beaten chalk."

It basically just means that he's trained 737 horses who've failed to win as the post time favorite over the last 5 years.

I think Formulator puts that stat in there so you can study the PP's of a trainers beaten favorites and look for your own angles and trends.

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Amazing stat.

Speaking of which ... what is the deal with Dom Galluscio trained 3rd time starters who run in NY Bred Stakes races?