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Old 04-06-2009, 08:14 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
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Default 3-year-olds with a look in The Met Mile

I think several of the 3-year-olds in this crop would have an outstanding look in a race like the Met Mile.

In my opinion - the single best race run in America so far this year was the Fountain of Youth.

The pace figure was a totally scorching fast 114 - the final time figure a very strong 113.

* This One's For Phil was the leader after six furlongs - so he turned in that monster number in the FoY. Watching film of him through his career - he looks like the classic 'have a target, don't be one' kind of horse.

After the FoY - they said he was injured and out indefinetly .. than the next week he shows up in the Swale. With the addition of Gomez riding and without taking him away from the pony for a strong warm-up .. he ran huge in the Swale against the impressive perfect trip Big Drama.

* Capt. Candyman Can was 3rd only two lengths off of This One's For Phil's scorching fast pace. He cut-back in distance next out and stylishly won the Bay Shore in final time just 2/5ths slower than Grade 1 older males ran in the Carter on the same card. Taqrub .. who was 4th after six furlongs in the FoY and faded badly .. ran a clear 2nd in the Bay Shore.

* Theregoesjojo was 5th at the pace call in the FoY - just 5.5 lengths off of This One's For Phil's blazing pace ... while exposed as a closing sprinter/miler in the Florida Derby next out ... he would have a sneaky longshot look in the Met Mile if the pace is strong.

* Big Drama is also a threat. He's crossed the wire 1st in six in a row .. including beating TOFP to the wire in dream trip fashion in a rapidly run Swale .. and beating Wood 2nd place finisher West Side Bernie in a two turn route.

Obviously Quality Road - who was pressing TOFP in the FoY and won in dominant fashion would be very tough to beat in the Met but might only run there if he bombs in the Derby and comes back 100%. Even a horse like Old Fashioned .. who I think is probably more a two-turn speed type .. could be a strong factor in the Met if he performs poorly in the Derby.


There are also several very nice 3yo male sprint prospects who would be suspect at getting a mile but can run. You Luckie Mann ran a 107 Beyer at age 2 and a 109 last time out.

Silver City ran a triple digit Beyer going 6.5 furlongs at Churcill as a 2yo. He has been torturing Old Fashioned on the front end all year.

Zensational only has a rapid maiden win and a loss as a 1/9 favorite in a failed route expierment .. but he is going to be a dynamite spritner imo.
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