7/19: Saratoga (Day 2-Diana; Sanford)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Luck of the Kitten 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Kamarius 7-2 WON ($11.20)
Best Value: #4 The Truth Or Else 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Dubai Sky Gate SCR


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Say Mr. Sandman 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Handy Stan 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Groupthink 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #4 Thnxtomyuncle 15-1 7th


3rd: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Contrary Opinion 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Bird Now 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Cosmic Gold 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Taghleeb 5-2 6th


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Blame Jim 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #6 Bold Conquest 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Smithereen 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Money Changer 3-1 3rd


5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Piquant 7-2 DNF-Lost Rider
Next Best: #6 Frazil 4-1 DNF-Affected by incident
Best Value: #8 One King's Man 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Be Bullish 3-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 2 with 4,6 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $12.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 8 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 5 with 2 with 4,6 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 2 with 8 - $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 2 with 8 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 8 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 2,4,8,9 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 4,6 with 2 with 4,6 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 1,3 - $4.00

Total: $73.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 2 with 4 - $1.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 2 with 4 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $6.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 6 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 5,6 with 2 with 4 - $2.00
7 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $3.00
8 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 2 with 6 - $1.00
9 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $12.00
10 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 2 with 6 - $4.00
11 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 6 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 4 with 2 with 4 - $2.00
13 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 3,4 with 4 - $4.00
14 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 1,3,8 - $6.00

Total: $57.00


6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Maniacally challenging group with perhaps 8-9 of the 12 possible with a square pace anticipated. Respect the obvious (4-8-10-12) and ponder the intriguing (3-5-6-9-11). Hard not to root for Al and Joe DiRico and #3 Mr Ciolko after the family was forced to put down their venerable sprint star stallion Disco Rico Thursday..

Best Value: #4 Vischer Ferry 8-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Thurgood 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Boston Strong 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Mr Ciolko 12-1 11th


7th: 100th Sanford (F2), 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Superb wagering affair and an upgrade from Friday's filly version. Quite a bit of speed signed on and think you want one that can sit off..

Best Value: #2 Silverhill 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Nonna's Boy 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Mr. Z 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Big Trouble 10-1 WON ($25.60)


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Thoroughly wide open start to the late quad..

Most Likely: #11 Weave 5-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Can't Explain 20-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Tasmona 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Fade to Black 15-1 2nd


9th: OC/N2X, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hard Enough 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Casino Dan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Battle Force 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 North Star Boy 6-1 WON ($11.60)


10th: 76th Diana (G1), F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Spectacular lineup for this always-engaging early season Spa standard. There is no bad combination..

Best Value: #6 Discreet Marq 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Alterite 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Strathnaver 10-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Stephanie's Kitten 6-1 2nd


11th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #6 Alakazan Alakazan 4-1 4th-DH
Best Value: #7 McIlroy 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 All Included 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Jonrah 10-1 3rd


<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 5,9 with 6,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 6,8 with 1,2 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 5,9 with 6,7 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 6,8 with 1,2 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 5,9 with 1,2 - $4.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,5,6,12 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $10.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 8,9,10 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 1,2,3,10 with 6,7 - $8.00

Total: $62.00


Good luck!
Steve